14:12
Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) (In Honour Of Ian Balding)
Group 2, Class 1, 6f, Flat, 2yo, £99,242, 8 runners
Winning time 1m 10.61s
- Going
- Good To Firm
- Surface
- Turf
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Arapaho Gold No. 1, stall 2
Connor Beasley · Michael Dods
✓ Top rated ✓ Course & distance winner ✓ Won last time out
Arapaho Gold heads the ratings in this competitive Class 1 six-furlong contest at Newbury and, on figures alone, holds a narrow edge over the closest pursuers, but the confidence here is modest given the quality ranged against him. Jolivette, just a couple of pounds behind, represents the most immediate threat and cannot be readily dismissed, while Cut A Dash and Adaay of Scarlett are also firmly in the picture and capable of reversing the slim rating advantage on the day. The selection's edge is real but slender, and this looks a race that could be decided by small margins. On balance, Arapaho Gold is our selection.
Result
William Buick
Charlie Appleby
Dwelt at the start - dropped towards the back - pushed along with 2f to run - closed into second spot approaching the last furlong - locked in a battle with the second in the final 110yds - got up in the closing strides to score
Colin Keane
Andrew Balding
Raced with enthusiasm early - went to front - pressed for effort 2f out - advantage shrinking into final furlong - locked together to line before caught in last strides
Connor Beasley
Michael Dods
Bumped at the break - raced strongly early - settled mid-pack - pressed for effort with 2f left - stayed close to front group entering last furlong - moved into third and stuck on well to finish close up
Callum Rodriguez
K. R. Burke
Drifted right early - fought for control - up with the pace - pressed for effort with 2f left - dropped back approaching last furlong and eased away short of the line
Jamie Spencer
Richard Hannon
Slow into stride at back - pushed along 2f out - made late progress inside final furlong - stayed on without threatening - finished 5th beaten 3 lengths
Rossa Ryan
Hugo Palmer
drifted left at the break - stayed handy with the pace - pushed along with 2f left - dropped away inside the final furlong to finish well held
Ray Dawson
Oli Rix
Drifted left from the stalls and pulled hard early - settled towards the back - moved left and pushed along 2f out - lost momentum inside final furlong to finish seventh
Shane Gray
Kevin Ryan
Settled close to the pace early - pressed for effort and dropped away with 2f left - beaten well into 8th
Racecard
Connor Beasley
Michael Dods 4/37
Arapaho Gold arrives on the back of four consecutive wins and, with experience over today's trip and a 29-day break since his last run, he looks the one to beat from stall two carrying 132 lb.
- Sire
- Bayside Boy (IRE)
- Dam
- Call Of The Jungle (IRE) by Bungle Inthejungle
- Owner
- Doug Graham And Carole Dods
- Foaled
- 10 Apr 2024
- Stable
- Piercebridge, Co Durham
- Trainer last 14 days
- 4 wins from 37 runs (11%)
- Trainer running to form
- 24%
- Ratings
- Perf 109, Speed 88
Rossa Ryan
Hugo Palmer 2/39
Adaay of Scarlett has rattled up four runner-up finishes in recent starts and has run over today's trip and going, making him a live threat from stall six off 129 lb; the main risk is his seventh last time out suggesting he may be coming off the boil.
- Sire
- Mehmas (IRE)
- Dam
- Adaay To Remember (GB) by Adaay
- Owner
- Svg Exact Lifestyle Ltd Owen
- Foaled
- 2 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Malpas, Cheshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 39 runs (5%)
- Trainer running to form
- 46%
- Ratings
- Perf 104, Speed 95
Jamie Spencer
Richard Hannon 2/51
Cut A Dash won one start back in recent form and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with his 129 lb burden from stall seven the factor to watch as he bids to recapture that winning thread.
- Sire
- Starspangledbanner (AUS)
- Dam
- Promising (IRE) by Invincible Spirit
- Owner
- Denford Stud
- Foaled
- 26 Mar 2024
- Stable
- Herridge, Wilts
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 51 runs (4%)
- Trainer running to form
- 42%
- Ratings
- Perf 105, Speed 96
Shane Gray
Kevin Ryan 3/41
Back-to-back wins two and three starts back give Matteo strong recent claims, though he was well beaten last time out; has run over today's trip and going, and 129 lb from stall one is the key unknown.
- Sire
- Coulsty (IRE)
- Dam
- Debutante's Ball (IRE) by Society Rock
- Owner
- Mrs J Ryan
- Foaled
- 25 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Hambleton, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 41 runs (7%)
- Trainer running to form
- 41%
- Ratings
- Perf 104, Speed 83
Ray Dawson
Oli Rix 1/4
A winner five starts back, Mr Macartney has since posted a string of sixth and seventh-place finishes, and ranked seventh of eight on our figures he is hard to fancy here; he has run over today's trip and going, and stall three gives him a neutral pitch.
- Sire
- Ubettabelieveit (IRE)
- Dam
- Blue Moonrise (GB) by Gutaifan
- Owner
- Barham Masterton Sweeting Severn Eddis
- Foaled
- 22 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 4 runs (25%)
- Trainer running to form
- 53%
- Ratings
- Perf 96, Speed 93
William Buick
Charlie Appleby 12/24
Nabati arrives on the back of a fine run of form — third last time out, though a winner two starts back, and he carries 129 lb from stall 5; his experience over today's trip and going helps, but our rating of 96 suggests he may be held on merit against the top-ranked rivals.
- Sire
- Night Of Thunder (IRE)
- Dam
- Pronouncement (USA) by Declaration Of War
- Owner
- Godolphin
- Foaled
- 7 Mar 2024
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 12 wins from 24 runs (50%)
- Trainer running to form
- 71%
- Ratings
- Perf 96, Speed 87
Callum Rodriguez
K. R. Burke 10/57
Ranked last of eight on our figures and with an unplaced run latest, Revels is hard to fancy despite two wins in his last four starts; he has run over today's distance and going before, and he returns after 30 days.
- Sire
- Lope De Vega (IRE)
- Dam
- Snooze N You Lose (FR) by Ribchester
- Owner
- Ms L Mars
- Foaled
- 21 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Coverham, North Yorkshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 10 wins from 57 runs (18%)
- Trainer running to form
- 49%
- Ratings
- Perf 92, Speed 81
Colin Keane
Andrew Balding 19/92
Jolivette shaped well with a third last time out, and a winner four starts back, she has winning form in the book; experience over today's trip and going suits, though carrying 126 lb from stall eight is the factor to watch.
- Sire
- Wootton Bassett (GB)
- Dam
- Jovial (GB) by Dubawi
- Owner
- Juddmonte
- Foaled
- 8 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Kingsclere, Hants
- Trainer last 14 days
- 19 wins from 92 runs (21%)
- Trainer running to form
- 65%
- Ratings
- Perf 107, Speed 94
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.