20:30
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes
Class 6, 1m3f (1m3f23y), Flat, 4yo+, Rated 0-65, £3,245, 7 runners
- Going
- TAPETA: STANDARD
- Surface
- AW
- Weather
- Overcast
- Stalls
- 5f - Centre; Remainder - Inside
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Chesneys Charm gets the nod on a progressive profile, and he is level with Super Hit on our figures at 72, so there is nothing to choose between them on raw numbers and the upward trend tips it. Super Hit is the obvious danger given that identical rating, while Jodhpur Blue is only a pound behind and Newport, on 68, cannot be ignored in a tight Class 6 contest over eleven furlongs at Southwell. Rajawail looks out of his depth, so this should be a race between the top four, and the progressive Chesneys Charm is the selection, albeit on a low-confidence call.
Runners
Alistair Rawlinson
Edward Smyth-Osbourne 0/5
Public Enemy is winless in his last four, and a ninth last time out follows a sixth two starts back, so he is hard to fancy. A third three starts back and a run over today's trip offer some hope, while 14 days since his last outing keeps him fit, though our rating ranks him sixth of seven.
- Sire
- Magna Grecia (IRE)
- Dam
- Chibola (ARG) by Roy
- Owner
- Chris Baldwin
- Foaled
- 5 Apr 2021
- Stable
- Upper Lambourn, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 5 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 34%
- Ratings
- Perf 65
Jason Watson
James Owen 9/52
Super Hit arrives in good heart after a third last time out and a second two starts back, only ten days ago, and he has run over today's trip and on the going. Our rating of 72 tops the field, though he is yet to win in his last six starts.
- Sire
- Too Darn Hot (GB)
- Dam
- Heaven's Angel (IRE) by Henrythenavigator
- Owner
- R J Lorenz
- Foaled
- 23 Feb 2021
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 9 wins from 52 runs (17%)
- Trainer running to form
- 59%
- Ratings
- Perf 72, Speed 66
Ryan Kavanagh (3)
Ian Williams 1/35
Jodhpur Blue has hit the frame in three of his last six, including a second and a third, and has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 71 ranks him third of seven. The main risk is a trainer in poor form, just 1/32 over the last 14 days, plus a 43-day break.
- Sire
- Blue Point (IRE)
- Dam
- Sacred Path (GB) by Galileo
- Owner
- Ian Williams
- Foaled
- 24 Feb 2021
- Stable
- Alvechurch, Worcs
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 35 runs (3%)
- Trainer running to form
- 30%
- Ratings
- Perf 71, Speed 69
Jack Nicholls (3)
Iain Jardine 6/28
Fresh enough after 20 days off, Newport arrives with a fourth last time out and a win four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before; our rating of 68 sits above his official 64. The main risk is a patchy run of form since that win, with 134 lb to carry from stall one.
- Sire
- Starspangledbanner (AUS)
- Dam
- Chamber Maid (GB) by Nathaniel
- Owner
- Ursa Major Racing I Jardine
- Foaled
- 22 Mar 2020
- Stable
- Carrutherstown, D'fries & G'way
- Trainer last 14 days
- 6 wins from 28 runs (21%)
- Trainer running to form
- 52%
- Ratings
- Perf 68, Speed 67
David Nolan
Ivan Furtado 4/31
Chesneys Charm has been in the frame often, a fourth last time out following a third two starts back, and he is fit after just ten days off. He has run over today's trip and going before, though he is winless in his last six, and our rating of 72 backs him as the selection from draw 7.
- Sire
- Mohaather (GB)
- Dam
- Velvet Charm (GB) by Excelebration
- Owner
- James Paul Services To Industry Ltd
- Foaled
- 30 Mar 2022
- Stable
- Easingwold, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 4 wins from 31 runs (13%)
- Trainer running to form
- 44%
- Ratings
- Perf 72, Speed 70
Edward Greatrex
Faye Bramley 1/13
Norflondonforever steps out quickly after a second last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he's yet to win in his last six starts. Carrying 130 lb from stall five, he sits fifth of seven on our rating of 67, so a similar effort might only bring a mid-pack finish.
- Sire
- Exceed And Excel (AUS)
- Dam
- Alchemilla (GB) by Dubai Destination
- Owner
- Mrs Penelope Walshe
- Foaled
- 11 Feb 2021
- Stable
- Lambourn, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 13 runs (8%)
- Trainer running to form
- 39%
- Ratings
- Perf 67, Speed 57
Faye McManoman
Brian Rothwell 1/5
Rajawail is winless in her last six starts, finishing eighth last time out, 9 days ago, and unplaced in most of the others, so she is hard to fancy as the bottom-ranked of seven on our figures (34). She has run over today's trip and going before, but that is about all she has going for her from stall six.
- Sire
- Rajasinghe (IRE)
- Dam
- Yawail (GB) by Medicean
- Owner
- S P Hudson Brian Rothwell
- Foaled
- 14 Apr 2020
- Stable
- Oswaldkirk, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 5 runs (20%)
- Trainer running to form
- 39%
- Ratings
- Perf 34, Speed 48
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.