20:30
Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Handicap Stakes
Class 5, 1m3f (1m3f24y), Flat, 3yo+, Rated 0-75, £4,397, 6 runners
- Going
- TAPETA: STANDARD
- Surface
- AW
- Weather
- Mostly Cloudy
- Stalls
- 5f - Centre; Remainder - Inside
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Thankfully is the pick here, and her progressive profile is what sets her apart from Captain Fox, who is rated just a pound better on our figures at 85 to her 84. A rating gap that small is easily overturned by a horse still on an upward curve, and that improvement gives her the edge over a rival who may have less left to offer. Captain Fox is the obvious danger and could simply prove the better horse on the day, while Caledonian and Emma's Letter, both rated in the mid-70s, need to step up but cannot be ignored in a six-runner Class 5 contest over 11 furlongs at Southwell. This looks tight at the top, but Thankfully is the selection.
Runners
Shane Gray
K. R. Burke 5/41
Thankfully arrives in better heart after a third last time out, and she is fresh enough after 30 days off; she has run over today's trip too. Winless in her last six, she carries 137 lb from stall six, but our figures of 84 rank her second of six.
- Sire
- St Mark's Basilica (FR)
- Dam
- Drumfad Bay (IRE) by Acclamation
- Owner
- Mrs Tabor Mrs Mv Magnier Mrs Shanahan
- Foaled
- 19 Jan 2023
- Stable
- Coverham, North Yorkshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 5 wins from 41 runs (12%)
- Trainer running to form
- 52%
- Ratings
- Perf 84, Speed 72
Daniel Muscutt
Ed Dunlop 3/14
Emma's Letter has won twice in her last six starts, including a first two starts back, and she was fifth last time out after 23 days off. She has run over today's trip and going before and is a real threat from stall 2, though that latest fifth is the one concern.
- Sire
- Saxon Warrior (JPN)
- Dam
- Letterfromamerica (USA) by Ghostzapper
- Owner
- Mrs Edward Dunlop
- Foaled
- 24 Mar 2023
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 14 runs (21%)
- Trainer running to form
- 50%
- Ratings
- Perf 74, Speed 70
Rhys Clutterbuck
Ralph Beckett 5/40
Seacole has been placed in four of her last six, including a second last time out 20 days ago, but she is yet to win in that spell and has run over today's trip. Ranked fifth of six on our figures and carrying 134 lb from stall five, she is hard to fancy.
- Sire
- Sea The Stars (IRE)
- Dam
- Crimean Queen (GB) by Iffraaj
- Owner
- Marcstown Ltd
- Foaled
- 11 Mar 2023
- Stable
- Kimpton, Hants
- Trainer last 14 days
- 5 wins from 40 runs (13%)
- Trainer running to form
- 58%
- Ratings
- Perf 74, Speed 67
Callum Shepherd
David Simcock 0/15
Caledonian has run over today's trip and going and sits third of six on our rating of 76, a sound base for a consistent sort who has finished fifth, fourth, eighth, fifth and fifth in his last five outings. The main risk is an 88-day absence, and he remains winless in that spell.
- Sire
- Sottsass (FR)
- Dam
- Sahara Sky (IRE) by Danehill
- Owner
- Millingbrook Racing Partners
- Foaled
- 2 Apr 2022
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 15 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 35%
- Ratings
- Perf 76, Speed 69
Finley Marsh
Richard Hughes 1/21
Captain Fox heads the ratings at 85 and rates a leading threat, a fourth last time out only 18 days ago, with experience of today's trip and going and a handy official mark of 70 despite 132 lb from stall 3. The main risk is that he is winless in his last six and his yard is out of form.
- Sire
- Australia (GB)
- Dam
- Tough Spirit (IRE) by Iffraaj
- Owner
- Bernie Dickson
- Foaled
- 31 Mar 2023
- Stable
- Upper Lambourn, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 21 runs (5%)
- Trainer running to form
- 44%
- Ratings
- Perf 85, Speed 70
Andrew Mullen
K. R. Burke 5/41
Khepri is winless in her last five, finishing eighth last time out and eighth two starts back after three fourths, and she returns after 46 days off. She has run over today's trip and going and has a pair of fourths to lean on, but our figures rank her last of six.
- Sire
- War Front (USA)
- Dam
- Meg Fitz (USA) by Tapit
- Owner
- Newtown Anner Stud Farm
- Foaled
- 17 Mar 2023
- Stable
- Coverham, North Yorkshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 5 wins from 41 runs (12%)
- Trainer running to form
- 52%
- Ratings
- Perf 69, Speed 65
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.