18:30
AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap Stakes
Class 5, 1m (1m14y), Flat, 3yo+, Rated 0-75, £3,716, 13 runners
- Going
- TAPETA: STANDARD
- Surface
- AW
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›It'sneverjustone gets the nod at Southwell, sharing the top rating in a competitive 13-runner Class 5 over a mile on the Standard surface. Nakaaha is the chief danger, level on our figures, while Sir Paul Ramsey is only 2 lb behind and Decalogue just 3 lb adrift, so this is far from a one-horse race. With so little between the principals, it's the pick's solid standing at the head of the ratings that makes the case, and the bottom of the field looks well short of this quartet. We side with It'sneverjustone.
Runners
David Egan
John Butler 3/19
- Sire
- Siyouni (FR)
- Dam
- Rainbow Heart (IRE) by Born To Sea
- Owner
- Brett Lawrence
- Foaled
- 21 Mar 2021
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 19 runs (16%)
Cara Tuke (7)
Iain Jardine 5/36
Winner last time out and again three starts back, Izzari is in good heart after just 12 days off, with experience of today's trip and going; however, he carries 137 lb off an official 75, and our rating of 74 ranks him only ninth of thirteen.
- Sire
- Areion (GER)
- Dam
- Izzy (GER) by Soldier Hollow
- Owner
- Criffel Racing Kevin Elliott
- Foaled
- 12 Feb 2021
- Stable
- Carrutherstown, D'fries & G'way
- Trainer last 14 days
- 5 wins from 36 runs (14%)
- Trainer running to form
- 46%
- Ratings
- Perf 74, Speed 69
Kevin Stott
Grace Harris 2/13
Nakaaha has run over today's trip and going, bounced back from a quiet spell with a second three starts back, and our rating of 80 ranks her second of 13 off an official mark of 75. The risk is a seventh last time out, and she carries 137 lb from stall 8.
- Sire
- Bated Breath (GB)
- Dam
- Naqaawa (IRE) by Shamardal
- Owner
- Ronald Davies Mrs Candida Davies
- Foaled
- 6 Mar 2022
- Stable
- Shirenewton, Gwent
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 13 runs (15%)
- Trainer running to form
- 38%
- Ratings
- Perf 80, Speed 71
Callum Shepherd
Charlie Johnston 3/37
Sir Paul Ramsey has run over today's trip and on this going, and our ratings have him third of 13 (78 against an official 74), so he looks a leading threat off 136 lb from draw 11. The risk is a 96-day absence after finishing sixth last time out, and he is winless in his last six starts.
- Sire
- Sea The Moon (GER)
- Dam
- Seychelloise (GB) by Pivotal
- Owner
- Paul Dean
- Foaled
- 12 Apr 2022
- Stable
- Middleham Moor, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 37 runs (8%)
- Trainer running to form
- 40%
- Ratings
- Perf 78, Speed 79
Luke Morris
Oliver Cole 1/10
A La Noche was fourth last time out, 13 days ago, and has a win three starts back, though he was unplaced two runs ago and has run over today's trip. Carrying 135 lb from stall 12 off an official mark of 73, he looks a mid-pack contender, with our rating of 77 ranking him fifth of 13.
- Sire
- Lope De Vega (IRE)
- Dam
- Mayhem (IRE) by Whipper
- Owner
- R Manley
- Foaled
- 21 Feb 2021
- Stable
- Whatcombe, Oxon
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 10 runs (10%)
- Trainer running to form
- 44%
- Ratings
- Perf 77, Speed 71
M. P. Sheehy
Adrian Keatley 2/10
Rapide Vega was a fifth last time out, but he is a winner three starts back and a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. A 33-day break and a mid-table ranking of eighth of 13 temper the case from stall 2.
- Sire
- Lucky Vega (IRE)
- Dam
- Kirk's Dancer (USA) by Dunkirk
- Owner
- Eric Koh
- Foaled
- 30 Jan 2023
- Stable
- Ryedale, North Yorkshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 10 runs (20%)
- Trainer running to form
- 45%
- Ratings
- Perf 76, Speed 73
Hector Crouch
David Loughnane 1/13
Fit after just 13 days, It'sneverjustone was a fourth last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 80 puts him top of the 13; he's yet to win in his last six, but that's the one reservation.
- Sire
- Massaat (IRE)
- Dam
- Nigella (GB) by Band On The Run
- Owner
- Ian Oconnor The Fox And Hounds
- Foaled
- 18 May 2022
- Stable
- Stoke Heath, Shropshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 13 runs (8%)
- Trainer running to form
- 27%
- Ratings
- Perf 80, Speed 71
Oisin Orr
Edward Bethell 1/24
Orangesandlemons has been fading, with a seventh last time out and a ninth two starts back, though a third four starts back shows she has more to offer, and she has run over today's trip and going. A 35-day break and a stable out of form hold her back, though our rating of 77 puts her mid-pack.
- Sire
- Mayson (GB)
- Dam
- Strawberryandcream (GB) by Cityscape
- Owner
- Clarendon Thoroughbred Racing
- Foaled
- 21 Mar 2022
- Stable
- Middleham, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 24 runs (4%)
- Trainer running to form
- 54%
- Ratings
- Perf 77, Speed 76
Paddy Bradley
Patrick Morris 1/4
Calyxoh was third two starts back and fourth the run before, but he comes here unplaced last time out and off a 48-day break, while still without a win in his last six. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 76 sits above his mark of 70.
- Sire
- Calyx (GB)
- Dam
- Eldalil (GB) by Singspiel
- Owner
- The Matrix Partnership
- Foaled
- 25 Apr 2022
- Stable
- Prescott, Merseyside
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 4 runs (25%)
- Trainer running to form
- 28%
- Ratings
- Perf 76, Speed 79
William Carver
Jamie Osborne 0/13
Decalogue is a leading danger, having won two starts back and been placed second and third in the runs before that, while he has run over today's trip and returns fresh after 23 days. The main risk is a fifth last time out, and he carries 132 lb from draw 4.
- Sire
- Constitution (USA)
- Dam
- Sun Summers (USA) by Broken Vow
- Owner
- Robin Oliver And Partners
- Foaled
- 30 Jan 2023
- Stable
- Upper Lambourn, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 13 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 41%
- Ratings
- Perf 77, Speed 70
Daniel Muscutt
Ollie Sangster 2/16
Piazza has finished second in three straight runs and fresh enough at 16 days, but she's only one win in her last six and keeps finding one too good. Our figures rank her tenth of 13, and she carries 131 lb from draw 7, though she has run over today's trip and going.
- Sire
- Starspangledbanner (AUS)
- Dam
- Indigo Angel (IRE) by Dark Angel
- Owner
- Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Willow
- Foaled
- 26 Feb 2023
- Stable
- Marlborough, Wilts
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 16 runs (13%)
- Trainer running to form
- 62%
- Ratings
- Perf 74, Speed 61
Jason Watson
Edward Bethell 1/24
Leopards Rock is hard to fancy, beaten into seventh last time out and winless in his last six, with the yard's 1/24 over the past fortnight offering no lift. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and going, and was third six starts back and second five starts back.
- Sire
- Territories (IRE)
- Dam
- Passionada (GB) by Avonbridge
- Owner
- Mia Racing
- Foaled
- 19 Mar 2023
- Stable
- Middleham, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 24 runs (4%)
- Trainer running to form
- 54%
- Ratings
- Perf 71, Speed 70
Alice Bond (5)
Martin Dunne 0/4
Mc'ted was sixth last time out and a fourth two starts back, with his only win four starts back, and a 104-day absence adds rust to the worry. Carrying 130 lb from draw 9, he has run over today's trip and going, but our rating of 69 ranks him 12th of 13.
- Sire
- Garswood (GB)
- Dam
- Granny McPhee (GB) by Bahri
- Owner
- Stuart Bond
- Foaled
- 2 Apr 2018
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 4 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 36%
- Ratings
- Perf 69, Speed 64
Christian Howarth (3)
John Ryan 0/8
Ecclefechan is hard to fancy after a fifth last time out and three straight defeats before that, having last won five starts back, and he turns out again just two days later. He has run over today's trip and going, but our rating of 68 ranks him 13th of 13.
- Sire
- Bated Breath (GB)
- Dam
- Bahia Star (GB) by Twilight Son
- Owner
- Gerry Mcgladery
- Foaled
- 16 Feb 2023
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 8 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 34%
- Ratings
- Perf 68, Speed 73
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.