12:46
Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery Handicap Stakes
Class 5, 5f (5f8y), Flat, 2yo, Rated 0-75, £4,711, 7 runners
- Going
- SOFT, Heavy in places
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Sunny Intervals
- Stalls
- 5f & 1m - Centre; 1m2f & 1m6f - Inside
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Dowman is our selection at Nottingham, and his progressive profile makes him the one to side with on the heavy ground over the five furlongs. He sits on a rating of 78, only four pounds behind the top-rated Bear Lee, and the upward trend in his form is a good reason to prefer him to the higher-rated rival. Bear Lee is the chief danger, while The Resdev Roman and Wolf's Gallop are both within range of Dowman on our figures and cannot be dismissed. Even so, Dowman's improvement gives him the edge, and he is the pick.
Runners
Billy Garritty
Michael & David Easterby 4/26
Bear Lee tops our ranking with a rating of 82 and a win six starts back, while three fourth-or-fifth finishes since show she keeps running into the frame's edge; she has run over today's trip and is back after 19 days, but an eighth last time out is the concern.
- Sire
- Kodi Bear (IRE)
- Dam
- Katherine Lee (IRE) by Azamour
- Owner
- N Bradley Racing 29 D Scott P Spencer
- Foaled
- 13 Apr 2024
- Stable
- Sheriff Hutton, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 4 wins from 26 runs (15%)
- Trainer running to form
- 28%
- Ratings
- Perf 82, Speed 77
Joanna Mason
Michael & David Easterby 4/26
The Resdev Roman won two starts back before a sixth last time out, and she has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 75 ranks her third of eight. The main risk is a patchy record, with a seventh on each of her other two recent runs, plus 134 lb from stall 8.
- Sire
- Holy Roman Emperor (IRE)
- Dam
- Amerique (GER) by American Post
- Owner
- N Bradley Racing 29 Resdev
- Foaled
- 3 Mar 2024
- Stable
- Sheriff Hutton, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 4 wins from 26 runs (15%)
- Trainer running to form
- 28%
- Ratings
- Perf 75, Speed 69
Hector Crouch
George Boughey 6/29
Dowman is our pick on profile: he's been third last time out and second two starts back, with a win five starts back, and he returns just nine days later, so he should be fit. He has run over today's trip, though 134 lb is a stiff burden.
- Sire
- Sioux Nation (USA)
- Dam
- Colombe (IRE) by Mehmas
- Owner
- R P Jones
- Foaled
- 1 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 6 wins from 29 runs (21%)
- Trainer running to form
- 53%
- Ratings
- Perf 78, Speed 66
Clifford Lee
Eve Johnson Houghton 1/10
Chief Minister is winless in his last five, with a ninth last time out just nine days ago, though a second two starts back shows he can step up, and he has run over today's trip. Carrying 130 lb from draw 9, he looks a midfield sort, with our rating of 70 only one pound above his official 69.
- Sire
- Mattmu (GB)
- Dam
- Secretarial (IRE) by Kingman
- Owner
- J Allison T Cartwright
- Foaled
- 22 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Blewbury, Oxfordshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 10 runs (10%)
- Trainer running to form
- 34%
- Ratings
- Perf 70, Speed 76
Barry McHugh
Richard & Peter Fahey 3/39
Sue's Last Chance bounces in off a third last time out and has run over today's trip, but he's yet to win in his last six starts and was unplaced in the two runs before that. Our rating of 72 sits fifth of eight, with 130 lb from draw 2 to carry.
- Sire
- Cotai Glory (GB)
- Dam
- Lady Beware (IRE) by Dragon Pulse
- Owner
- P D Smith Holdings Ltd
- Foaled
- 5 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Musley Bank, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 39 runs (8%)
- Trainer running to form
- 40%
- Ratings
- Perf 72, Speed 68
Kieran O'Neill
Tom Lacey 0/5
Wolf's Gallop bounces in off a second last time out and has made the frame three times in his last six, while our rating of 74 ranks him fourth of eight and sits well above his official 68. He has run over today's trip, but he's yet to win in that spell, which is the main risk.
- Sire
- Sergei Prokofiev (CAN)
- Dam
- Sky Blue Pink (GB) by Showcasing
- Owner
- Fairies At The Bottom Of The Garden Ltd
- Foaled
- 18 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Woolhope, H'fords
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 5 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 27%
- Ratings
- Perf 74, Speed 68
David Allan
Tim Easterby 6/64
- Sire
- Soldier's Call (GB)
- Dam
- Ponty Acclaim (IRE) by Acclamation
- Owner
- Reality Partnerships Iv
- Foaled
- 25 Apr 2024
- Stable
- Great Habton, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 6 wins from 64 runs (9%)
Robert Havlin
James Owen 9/51
Penny Capri has been well beaten lately, unplaced last time out and a ninth two starts back, with her one win coming three starts back; she has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 23 days. Rated 63 and seventh of eight on our figures, she's hard to fancy from stall three off 126 lb.
- Sire
- Minzaal (IRE)
- Dam
- Dilawara (FR) by Dream Ahead
- Owner
- Cambrianway Ltd
- Foaled
- 24 Jan 2024
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 9 wins from 51 runs (18%)
- Trainer running to form
- 55%
- Ratings
- Perf 63, Speed 59
Tyler Heard
Mark Usher 1/4
Defiant Dream is winless in her last six, though back-to-back fourths show she's rarely far away, and she has run over today's trip. Ranked last of eight on our figures, she's hard to fancy, even with 114 lb from stall 1 after 23 days off.
- Sire
- Dream Ahead (USA)
- Dam
- Incorrigible (GB) by Oasis Dream
- Owner
- Rowdown Racing Partnership
- Foaled
- 5 Mar 2024
- Stable
- Upper Lambourn, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 4 runs (25%)
- Trainer running to form
- 35%
- Ratings
- Perf 58, Speed 58
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.