14:12
Disability Inc Handicap Stakes
Class 6, 1m, Flat, 4yo+, Rated 0-65, £3,454, 14 runners
- Going
- SOFT, Heavy in places
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Sunny
- Stalls
- Sprints - Centre; 1m2f - Outside; 1m - Inside
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Spirit Lead Me No. 4, stall 6
Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes
✓ Course & distance winner ✓ Won last time out
Spirit Lead Me is our selection for this heavy-ground Bath contest, and the case rests on a progressive profile and a fitness edge that count for plenty in a bunched Class 6 over eight furlongs. He is rated 64, only four pounds behind the joint top-rated pair, so the gap is small enough for those factors to bridge. Look Back Smiling and Rogue Sea, both on 68, head the ratings and must be respected, while Riyadh Gem is another capable of playing a part. With 14 runners and little to choose between many of them, this is a competitive heat, but Spirit Lead Me gets the nod.
Runners
Charlie Tucker (7)
Bernard Llewellyn 0/7
Kaleidoscope Eyes won two starts back and five starts back, but she was unplaced last time out after 27 days off, and she has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 62 ranks her eighth of 14, so a 135 lb burden from stall 2 leaves plenty to prove.
- Sire
- No Nay Never (USA)
- Dam
- Fantasy In Blue (GB) by Galileo
- Owner
- Mrs C C Diamond
- Foaled
- 3 May 2022
- Stable
- Fochriw, Mid Glamorgan
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 7 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 24%
- Ratings
- Perf 62, Speed 66
Charles Bishop
John & Rhys Flint 0/5
Rogue Sea has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after 21 days off, while our rating of 68 ranks him second of 14 and makes him a leading threat from draw 14. The risk is form that has tailed off, with an eighth last time out and a seventh the start before.
- Sire
- Sea The Stars (IRE)
- Dam
- Tarfasha (IRE) by Teofilo
- Owner
- James Hearne
- Foaled
- 29 Apr 2020
- Stable
- Kenfig Hill, Bridgend
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 5 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 33%
- Ratings
- Perf 68, Speed 69
Isobelle Chalmers (7)
J. S. Moore 0/10
Fifth last time out, after a sixth and a fourth, Thiscouldbefun has slipped since winning four starts back, though she has run over today's trip and going and returns after 30 days. Our rating of 65 ranks her fourth of 14, but 133 lb from stall 3 asks plenty.
- Sire
- Coulsty (IRE)
- Dam
- Shrewd Approach (IRE) by Dawn Approach
- Owner
- Mrs Wendy Jarrett J S Moore
- Foaled
- 19 Mar 2022
- Stable
- Upper Lambourn, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 10 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 46%
- Ratings
- Perf 65, Speed 61
Finley Marsh
Richard Hughes 3/18
Spirit Lead Me arrives in top form, a winner last time out and again two starts back, and he's back quickly after just 10 days, having run over today's trip before. Carrying 133 lb from draw 6, he is our pick on overall profile, though our figures rank him fifth of 14.
- Sire
- Calyx (GB)
- Dam
- Fern (IRE) by War Command
- Owner
- Eamonn J Kelly
- Foaled
- 25 Mar 2022
- Stable
- Upper Lambourn, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 18 runs (17%)
- Trainer running to form
- 47%
- Ratings
- Perf 65, Speed 62
Dougie Costello
Neil Mulholland 3/22
Look Back Smiling has been in the frame twice in his last six, a third two starts back and another five starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 68 ranks him top of the 14. The risk is that he's yet to win in that spell and was only sixth last time out.
- Sire
- Fast Company (IRE)
- Dam
- Portico (GB) by Pivotal
- Owner
- Blue, Black And White Club
- Foaled
- 20 Apr 2020
- Stable
- Limpley Stoke, Wilts
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 22 runs (14%)
- Trainer running to form
- 33%
- Ratings
- Perf 69, Speed 67
William Cox
Faye Bramley 2/11
Riyadh Gem is a threat on our figures, ranked third of 14 with a speed rating of 68, and he has run over today's trip before, while his third four starts back is the best of a winless recent run. The main risk is a 167-day absence after an unplaced effort last time out.
- Sire
- Oasis Dream (GB)
- Dam
- Halfwaytothemoon (IRE) by Sea The Stars
- Owner
- Beck Racing Limited
- Foaled
- 20 Apr 2022
- Stable
- Lambourn, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 11 runs (18%)
- Trainer running to form
- 39%
- Ratings
- Perf 65, Speed 68
Edward Greatrex
Ian Williams 1/22
Just Queen High is hard to fancy, unplaced last time and beaten in all six recent starts, with a seventh two starts back her best finish. Experience of today's trip and going, and a rating of 60 from 130 lb, are small positives, but a yard going 1/23 is a worry.
- Sire
- Calyx (GB)
- Dam
- Lucy Lou (IRE) by Galileo
- Owner
- D Mooney D Gibbons
- Foaled
- 14 Mar 2022
- Stable
- Portway, Worcs
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 22 runs (5%)
- Trainer running to form
- 30%
- Ratings
- Perf 57, Speed 63
Ben Ffrench Davis (5)
Dominic Ffrench Davis 0/7
Man From Havana is winless in his last five, finishing a ninth last time out and unplaced in the two runs before, so he is hard to fancy at 129 lb. He has run over today's trip and is back quickly after seven days, but our rating of 56 ranks him 13th of 14.
- Sire
- Havana Grey (GB)
- Dam
- La Parisienne (GB) by Champs Elysees
- Owner
- P J Mrs J P Haycock
- Foaled
- 4 May 2022
- Stable
- Lambourn, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 7 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 37%
- Ratings
- Perf 57, Speed 50
Kieran O'Neill
Mike Murphy 0/3
Divine Wish is yet to win in her last five, with two unplaced runs most recently after a fourth three starts back, though she has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 22 days. Our rating of 63 sits above her official 58, but she carries 128 lb from stall 13.
- Sire
- Zoustar (AUS)
- Dam
- Special Purpose (IRE) by Scat Daddy
- Owner
- Ms Denise Tibbett
- Foaled
- 9 Mar 2022
- Stable
- Westoning, Bedfords
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 3 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 20%
- Ratings
- Perf 63, Speed 58
Ashley Lewis (3)
Barry Murphy 0/7
Sixth last time out, and a second two starts back, show Rwenearlytheredad is competitive enough, and he has run over today's trip and going before after a 17-day break. Yet he is winless in his last five and carries 127 lb from draw 11, so the ceiling looks limited.
- Sire
- Havana Grey (GB)
- Dam
- King's Guest (IRE) by King's Best
- Owner
- A Evans
- Foaled
- 31 Mar 2020
- Stable
- Caerfyrddin, Carmarthenshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 7 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 16%
- Ratings
- Perf 59, Speed 61
William Carson
John Gallagher 1/5
Havana Mojito has been placed second three times in his last six starts and was fourth last time out, only ten days ago, but he is still yet to win in that spell. Ranked last of 14 on our figures, he is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip before.
- Sire
- Havana Grey (GB)
- Dam
- Heartsong (IRE) by Kheleyf
- Owner
- The Leek Peak Racing Partnership
- Foaled
- 11 Mar 2021
- Stable
- Chastleton, Oxon
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 5 runs (20%)
- Trainer running to form
- 65%
- Ratings
- Perf 56, Speed 57
Hector Crouch
Tony Carroll 1/38
Equion was fifth last time out after a win two starts back, with experience of today's trip and going, but he has a patchy record behind that and a yard going 1/35 lately. Our rating of 63 sits seventh of 14, so he looks a midfield sort from stall four.
- Sire
- Mayson (GB)
- Dam
- Eleodora (GB) by Dubawi
- Owner
- Royale Racing Syndicate
- Foaled
- 29 Apr 2018
- Stable
- Cropthorne, Worcs
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 38 runs (3%)
- Trainer running to form
- 32%
- Ratings
- Perf 63, Speed 58
David Probert
Michael Attwater 1/15
Pitney was fourth last time out just ten days ago, and he has a second four starts back, but he's yet to win in his last six and was unplaced two runs before that. He has run over today's trip and carries 124 lb from stall 1, while our rating of 62 ranks him ninth of 14.
- Sire
- Mehmas (IRE)
- Dam
- Mercifilly (FR) by Whipper
- Owner
- Dare To Dream Racing
- Foaled
- 23 Apr 2021
- Stable
- Epsom, Surrey
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 15 runs (7%)
- Trainer running to form
- 9%
- Ratings
- Perf 62, Speed 55
Taryn Langley (5)
Michael Attwater 1/15
Lovely Jubly was fifth last time out, with a third two starts back and a win three starts back, but she's ranked 11th of 14 on our figures. She has run over today's trip and going, and a 29-day break is no concern, though a ceiling around this level makes her hard to fancy.
- Sire
- Harry Angel (IRE)
- Dam
- Plover (GB) by Oasis Dream
- Owner
- Canisbay Bloodstock
- Foaled
- 14 Feb 2021
- Stable
- Epsom, Surrey
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 15 runs (7%)
- Trainer running to form
- 9%
- Ratings
- Perf 59, Speed 54
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.