13:05
Dusseldorf's Henkel 169 German Oaks Handicap Stakes
Class 3, 1m, Flat, 3yo+, Rated 0-95, £10,308, 14 runners
- Going
- GOOD TO SOFT (GoingStick: 6.2)
- Surface
- Turf
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Beagle Bay is our selection at Newmarket, and the progressive profile is the reason to side with him over River King, who is only four pounds better on our figures. Rated 101, he sits just a few pounds off the top of a competitive 14-runner Class 3 and looks the type still improving, which matters on a good-to-soft surface over eight furlongs. River King is the chief danger as the top-rated runner on 105, with Godwinson (102) and Supido (100) also closely matched on ability and capable of reversing the placings if Beagle Bay's progress levels off. Still, the upward trend gives Beagle Bay the edge, and he is the pick.
Runners
Sean Levey
Richard Hannon 2/27
River King arrives a course-of-action threat having won last time out, and he has two wins in his last six, with a second and a fourth also on the card. He has run over today's trip and going, but a quick seven-day turnaround and 144 lb are the main risks.
- Sire
- King Of Change (GB)
- Dam
- Precipitous (IRE) by Indian Ridge
- Owner
- Grande Motte
- Foaled
- 14 Apr 2022
- Stable
- Herridge, Wilts
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 27 runs (7%)
- Trainer running to form
- 30%
- Ratings
- Perf 105, Speed 90
George Bass
Jack Channon 1/12
Godwinson has run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 102 ranks him second of 14, so he rates a leading threat from stall 13 off 141 lb. The main risk is a 92-day absence after five unplaced runs, so fitness and form are both questions.
- Sire
- Saxon Warrior (JPN)
- Dam
- Malabar (GB) by Raven's Pass
- Owner
- Jon And Julia Aisbitt
- Foaled
- 30 May 2020
- Stable
- West Ilsley, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 12 runs (8%)
- Trainer running to form
- 41%
- Ratings
- Perf 102, Speed 89
Hector Crouch
Ralph Beckett 5/39
Three wins in his last five starts is the heart of the case for Beagle Bay, who won two and three starts back and has run over today's trip and going before, returning fit after 22 days. A fifth last time out is the one blemish, but he looks well treated on a rating of 101 against an official 94.
- Sire
- New Bay (GB)
- Dam
- Volunteer Point (IRE) by Footstepsinthesand
- Owner
- Valmont Ballylinch Stud
- Foaled
- 5 Mar 2022
- Stable
- Kimpton, Hants
- Trainer last 14 days
- 5 wins from 39 runs (13%)
- Trainer running to form
- 58%
- Ratings
- Perf 101, Speed 87
Charles Bishop
Ian Williams 2/25
Supido bids to build on a third last time out, a fresh 20 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 100 ranks him fourth of 14 and sits well above his official 92. The risk is he's yet to win in his last six starts, with two unplaced runs in that spell.
- Sire
- Blue Point (IRE)
- Dam
- Zanyeva (IRE) by Oasis Dream
- Owner
- Bell Lyons James
- Foaled
- 25 Apr 2022
- Stable
- Alvechurch, Worcs
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 25 runs (8%)
- Trainer running to form
- 33%
- Ratings
- Perf 100, Speed 89
Callum Shepherd
Marco Botti 3/10
Winless in his last five and beaten into eighth last time out, Sunset On Leros returns after 112 days off, which makes him hard to fancy under 134 lb from stall 2. A third five starts back and another three starts back show some ability, and he has run over today's trip, but our figures rank him last of 14.
- Sire
- Almanzor (FR)
- Dam
- Juliet Capulet (IRE) by Dark Angel
- Owner
- Paul Hunt Lucie Botti
- Foaled
- 17 Mar 2023
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 10 runs (30%)
- Trainer running to form
- 56%
- Ratings
- Perf 87, Speed 87
Daniel Muscutt
Hayley Burton 0/3
The Liffey won five and six starts back and was second four starts back, but he has slipped since, with a sixth three starts back, an unplaced run, then a fourth last time out. He has run over today's trip and going, though 134 lb from draw 4 and a 29-day break leave him a mid-pack proposition on our rating of 97, sixth of 14.
- Sire
- No Nay Never (USA)
- Dam
- Rain Goddess (IRE) by Galileo
- Owner
- Ruby Red Racing Hayley Burton
- Foaled
- 15 Feb 2021
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 3 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 36%
- Ratings
- Perf 97, Speed 84
Toby Moore (7)
Charlie Appleby 4/20
Won last time out and again five starts back, though a ninth and an unplaced effort in between show some inconsistency, and he returns after 84 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 94 ranks him ninth of 14 under 133 lb from stall three.
- Sire
- Dubawi (IRE)
- Dam
- Summer Romance (IRE) by Kingman
- Owner
- Godolphin
- Foaled
- 3 Apr 2023
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 4 wins from 20 runs (20%)
- Trainer running to form
- 70%
- Ratings
- Perf 94, Speed 91
Harry Davies
James Owen 9/50
Rogue Millions has finished ninth, fifth, seventh, eighth and sixth in his last five, so he is winless in recent starts, though he's fresh enough after 17 days and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 97 sits well above his official 88, but carrying 133 lb from stall 14 asks plenty.
- Sire
- Dubawi (IRE)
- Dam
- Nyaleti (IRE) by Arch
- Owner
- The Rogues Gallery
- Foaled
- 7 Mar 2022
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 9 wins from 50 runs (18%)
- Trainer running to form
- 54%
- Ratings
- Perf 97, Speed 89
Connor Planas
Charlie Appleby 4/20
Fort Rock has been in cracking recent form, second last time out, a third two starts back, and a winner three and four starts back, and he has run over today's trip. Against that, he returns after 134 days off, carries 133 lb from stall six, and our rating of 92 ranks him only tenth of 14.
- Sire
- Wootton Bassett (GB)
- Dam
- Pabouche (IRE) by Dubawi
- Owner
- Godolphin
- Foaled
- 25 Jan 2023
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 4 wins from 20 runs (20%)
- Trainer running to form
- 70%
- Ratings
- Perf 92, Speed 76
Kieran Shoemark
Tom Clover 1/10
God of War arrives in decent heart after a third last time out, and a fourth two starts back, having run over today's trip and going before, but he is yet to win in his last six starts. Carrying 131 lb from stall 12, he sits seventh of 14 on our rating of 94.
- Sire
- Mohaather (GB)
- Dam
- Lady Freyja (GB) by Mayson
- Owner
- Moulton Racing
- Foaled
- 12 Apr 2022
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 10 runs (10%)
- Trainer running to form
- 57%
- Ratings
- Perf 94, Speed 86
Rob Hornby
John & Thady Gosden 5/26
Won last time out and was second in his two runs before, yet a 175-day absence is a concern, and he carries 131 lb from draw 1. He has run over today's trip and going, but our rating of 92 ranks him just eleventh of 14.
- Sire
- Night Of Thunder (IRE)
- Dam
- Hostess (GB) by Iffraaj
- Owner
- Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum
- Foaled
- 14 Feb 2023
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 5 wins from 26 runs (19%)
- Trainer running to form
- 56%
- Ratings
- Perf 92, Speed 80
David Probert
Ed Dunlop 0/18
Sterling Knight is yet to win in his last six starts, with two eighths most recently, though he is back quickly after 12 days and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 94 sits above his official 85, but a third five starts back is his best finish lately.
- Sire
- Camelot (GB)
- Dam
- Sterling Sound (USA) by Street Cry
- Owner
- Turf Club 2024 And Partner
- Foaled
- 2 Apr 2019
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 18 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 37%
- Ratings
- Perf 94, Speed 85
Billy Garritty
Richard & Peter Fahey 3/42
Rainbow Nebula is winless in his last six, unplaced last time out and an eighth two starts back, with a third three starts back his only top-three finish. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating is 89, yet it ranks him only 12th of 14.
- Sire
- Hello Youmzain (FR)
- Dam
- Quara (IRE) by Pivotal
- Owner
- Peter Timmins
- Foaled
- 20 Jan 2022
- Stable
- Musley Bank, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 42 runs (7%)
- Trainer running to form
- 37%
- Ratings
- Perf 89, Speed 85
David Allan
Tim Easterby 5/64
Bearin Up was second last time out and ran only nine days ago, but she is yet to win in her last six starts and our figures rank her 13th of 14. She has run over today's trip and going, which helps, though 122 lb from stall 8 looks a lot to ask.
- Sire
- Kodi Bear (IRE)
- Dam
- Revolutionintheair (USA) by Declaration Of War
- Owner
- G Horsford Partner
- Foaled
- 14 Feb 2023
- Stable
- Great Habton, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 5 wins from 64 runs (8%)
- Trainer running to form
- 39%
- Ratings
- Perf 89, Speed 75
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.