13:48
Pricedup Boosted Prices Daily Houghton Mares' Steeple Chase (Listed Race) (GBB Race)
Listed, Class 1, 2m4f (2m3f210y), Chase, 4yo+, M, £22,780, 4 runners
- Going
- GOOD, Good to soft in places
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Sunny
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Paggane heads a four-runner field at Carlisle over 20 furlongs and is the call on our figures, rated 144 and five pounds ahead of her nearest pursuer. That margin is a solid edge rather than a stranglehold, so Apple Away (139) is the one to fear and is entitled to make this a proper contest over the staying trip. Obsessedwithyou (120) and Celestial Fashion (101) look a long way adrift on our numbers, which leaves this looking a straight match between the top two. Paggane has the better credentials and is our selection.
Runners
169 days
9yo, 11-6, OR 138 P/31-6
J: Derek Fox · T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
Derek Fox
Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore 7/39
Apple Away is a leading danger, having won two starts back and finished third the run before, while she has run over today's trip and our rating has her second of four. The risk is a 169-day absence, plus a sixth last time out and 160 lb on her back.
- Sire
- Arctic Cosmos (USA)
- Dam
- Dr A Day (IRE) by Dr Massini
- Owner
- Old Gold Racing 14
- Foaled
- 10 May 2017
- Stable
- Milnathort, Perth & Kinross
- Trainer last 14 days
- 7 wins from 39 runs (18%)
- Trainer running to form
- 37%
- Ratings
- Perf 139
Brian Hughes
Faye Bramley 1/15
Paggane arrives with two wins in her last five starts, a winner three starts back and four starts back, and a third two starts back, before a fifth last time out. She has run over today's trip, has had 39 days off, and tops our ratings, though 160 lb is a hefty burden.
- Sire
- Muhaarar (GB)
- Dam
- Penelopa (GB) by Giant's Causeway
- Owner
- R Bartlett J Carthy Mrs P Shanahan
- Foaled
- 29 Mar 2019
- Stable
- Lambourn, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 15 runs (7%)
- Trainer running to form
- 42%
- Ratings
- Perf 144
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton 17/80
- Sire
- Canford Cliffs (IRE)
- Dam
- Toto Corde Meo (IRE) by Galileo
- Owner
- Bryan Drew
- Foaled
- 19 Jan 2016
- Stable
- Alcester, Warwicks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 17 wins from 80 runs (21%)
Callum Bewley
Ian Duncan 0/6
Celestial Fashion won twice in a row three and four starts back, then registered a third two starts ago before a fifth last time out, so she brings solid recent form and has run over today's trip. The big risk is a 191-day absence, with 156 lb to carry.
- Sire
- Telescope (IRE)
- Dam
- French Fashion (IRE) by Jamesmead
- Owner
- Stephen Sinclair Ian Duncan
- Foaled
- 20 May 2018
- Stable
- Coylton, Ayrshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 6 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 23%
- Ratings
- Perf 101
Sam Twiston-Davies
Jamie Snowden 3/13
Obsessedwithyou has finished second in three of her last five, as well as a win four starts back, and has run over today's trip, while 23 days since her last run is a fair gap. The main risk is a seventh last time out, with 156 lb to carry.
- Sire
- Bathyrhon (GER)
- Dam
- Carmona (FR) by Sleeping Car
- Owner
- Awr Consultancy Ltd The Folly Partners
- Foaled
- 4 Apr 2019
- Stable
- Lambourn, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 13 runs (23%)
- Trainer running to form
- 42%
- Ratings
- Perf 120
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.