13:55
Copybet Pay First Past The Post Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
Class 4, 2m½f (2m0f110y), Chase, 4yo+, Rated 0-120, £4,225, 10 runners
- Going
- GOOD TO SOFT, Soft in places (GoingStick: 5.1)
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Dry & Cloudy
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Red Oak No. 3
Jonathan Burke · James Owen
✓ Top rated ✓ Distance winner ✓ Trainer in form (12/53, 14 days)
Red Oak is our selection at Worcester, and he heads the field on our figures with a rating of 122, three pounds better than Next Twist on 119. That edge is narrow rather than decisive, but it is enough to make him the one to beat in a Class 4 over sixteen furlongs on good to soft. Next Twist is the most obvious danger, while Kiwi Rush and Just Her Type, both on 114, sit a little further back and could pick up the pieces if the leader falters. Red Oak tops our ratings, so he gets the vote.
Runners
Sean Bowen
Olly Murphy 7/28
Next Twist has won twice in his last five starts, including a victor two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, with a yard in cracking form (8/31 in the last 14 days). The main risk is a 172-day absence after a sixth last time out.
- Sire
- Muhtathir (GB)
- Dam
- Poprock Du Berlais (FR) by Martaline
- Owner
- Adrian Butler
- Foaled
- 20 Feb 2020
- Stable
- Wilmcote, Warks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 7 wins from 28 runs (25%)
- Trainer running to form
- 53%
- Ratings
- Perf 119
Gavin Sheehan
Tom George 0/2
Sweating Bullets was third last time out, with a fourth twice and a second before that, so he is yet to win in his last four starts. A 532-day layoff and a lightly raced profile leave him unexposed and open to improvement, though he carries 168 lb.
- Sire
- Bullet Train (GB)
- Dam
- Dark Sunshine (GER) by Kallisto
- Owner
- Silkword Racing Partnership
- Foaled
- 4 May 2019
- Stable
- Slad, Gloucs
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 2 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 21%
Jonathan Burke
James Owen 12/53
Red Oak won last time out and has two wins in his last five starts, while he has run over today's trip and going before. A 202-day absence is the one reservation, but our rating of 122 makes him the one to beat under 168 lb.
- Sire
- Kalanisi (IRE)
- Dam
- Lady Knightess (IRE) by Presenting
- Owner
- Roxholme Racing
- Foaled
- 29 Feb 2020
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 12 wins from 53 runs (23%)
- Trainer running to form
- 54%
- Ratings
- Perf 122
Freddie Mitchell (3)
Max Comley 0/6
Just Her Type arrives with a consistent profile, third last time out, a second two starts back and a winner three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. The single concern is a 257-day absence, with 165 lb to carry.
- Sire
- Pour Moi (IRE)
- Dam
- Enistar (IRE) by Synefos
- Owner
- Charles Noell And Helen Byrd
- Foaled
- 26 Mar 2020
- Stable
- Warminster, Wiltshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 6 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 46%
- Ratings
- Perf 114
Lorcan Williams
Paul Nicholls 3/15
Hard to fancy after 225 days off, and she carries 160 lb, though a fourth last time out, a winner two starts back and a second three starts back show she has been in decent form. She has run over today's trip and going, but her rating of 111 ranks her seventh of ten.
- Sire
- Walk In The Park (IRE)
- Dam
- Blue Berlais (IRE) by Saint Des Saints
- Owner
- Kate Andrew Brooks
- Foaled
- 23 Mar 2020
- Stable
- Ditcheat, Somerset
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 15 runs (20%)
- Trainer running to form
- 62%
- Ratings
- Perf 111
Paul O'Brien
Harry Derham 2/17
Kiwi Rush bounces in off a third last time out, with another third three starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 114 ranks him third of ten. The risk is a 217-day absence, and he carries 158 lb.
- Sire
- Mahler (GB)
- Dam
- Don't Forsit (IRE) by Arcadio
- Owner
- Smash Gc Racing
- Foaled
- 11 Mar 2020
- Stable
- Upper Lambourn, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 17 runs (12%)
- Trainer running to form
- 55%
- Ratings
- Perf 114
Jack Andrews
Tom Ellis 1/7
Tigers Moon boasts a solid recent record, second last time out and a winner three starts back, with experience of today's trip and going, but a 254-day absence and 156 lb off an official mark of 108 make him hard to fancy. Our rating of 104 ranks him eighth of ten.
- Sire
- Pether's Moon (IRE)
- Dam
- Duchess Theatre (IRE) by King's Theatre
- Owner
- P L Barrett
- Foaled
- 26 May 2020
- Stable
- Rugby, Warwicks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 7 runs (14%)
- Trainer running to form
- 65%
- Ratings
- Perf 104
Tristan Durrell
Dan Skelton 17/80
Kartoon And Co was placed in three of his last five, including a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, but a 953-day absence and a sixth last time out temper enthusiasm, while he carries 156 lb.
- Sire
- Balko (FR)
- Dam
- Baronne Picsou (FR) by Great Pretender
- Owner
- P H Betts
- Foaled
- 4 Apr 2020
- Stable
- Alcester, Warwicks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 17 wins from 80 runs (21%)
- Trainer running to form
- 63%
- Ratings
- Perf 114
- Wind surgery
- w 1
Toby Wynne
Sam Allwood 0/2
Sweeper System was fifth last time out, and a third two starts back, with a win three starts back the high point of otherwise modest recent form. He has run over today's trip and going, and is fresh enough after 16 days, but 151 lb and a ninth-place ranking on our figures make him hard to fancy.
- Sire
- Doyen (IRE)
- Dam
- Presenting Marble (IRE) by Presenting
- Owner
- Bostock Dunlevy Mcguinness Bradshaw
- Foaled
- 10 May 2020
- Stable
- Whitchurch, Shropshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 2 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 32%
- Ratings
- Perf 103
Ciaran Gethings
Ben Case 0/3
Hans Lippershey was fourth last time out and second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he is yet to win in his last five and returns after 201 days off. Carrying 150 lb off 102, he looks a mid-pack type on our rating of 111, ranked sixth of ten.
- Sire
- Telescope (IRE)
- Dam
- Lifeboat Mona (GB) by Kayf Tara
- Owner
- Lady Jane Grosvenor
- Foaled
- 23 Apr 2021
- Stable
- Edgcote, Northants
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 3 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 24%
- Ratings
- Perf 111
- Wind surgery
- w 1
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.