13:10
Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Class 6, 1m4½f (1m4f104y), Flat, 3yo+, Rated 0-65, £3,664, 11 runners
- Going
- GOOD TO SOFT, Good in places (GoingStick: 7.0)
- Surface
- Turf
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Naturalia gets our vote at Musselburgh, with a progressive profile and a fitness edge that make her the one to side with over a 12f trip on good to soft ground. Battosai is the top-rated runner on our figures at 69, four pounds better than her, but we prefer Naturalia's upward trajectory and sharper condition in a modest Class 6 field of 11. Grey Fable and Kinross Claret are the other dangers, sitting just behind on 64 and 62, so this is no gift, yet Naturalia looks the most likely to put it all together on the day. Naturalia is our selection.
Runners
Andrew Mullen
Donald Whillans 0/6
Naturalia comes here in solid shape, third last time out and just 12 days ago, with a fourth two starts back and another fourth three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 65 sits one clear of her official 64, though 140 lb is a notable burden.
- Sire
- Sea The Moon (GER)
- Dam
- Na Balada (BRZ) by Forestry
- Owner
- The Old Firm
- Foaled
- 12 Mar 2021
- Stable
- Hawick, Scottish Borders
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 6 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 32%
- Ratings
- Perf 65, Speed 66
Paul Mulrennan
Simon Whitaker 1/5
Kartini won last time out just nine days ago, though a seventh two starts back and a run of mid-pack finishes before that show she has been inconsistent. Carrying 136 lb off an official mark of 55, she looks a fair fifth-ranked runner on our rating of 58.
- Sire
- Dark Angel (IRE)
- Dam
- Tranquil Star (IRE) by Galileo
- Owner
- Messrs Clayton, Sparks & Galloway
- Foaled
- 17 Apr 2022
- Stable
- Scarcroft, W Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 5 runs (20%)
- Trainer running to form
- 22%
- Ratings
- Perf 58, Speed 55
Jason Hart
Karl Thornton 0/2
Grey Fable has run over today's trip and on the going before, and a second two starts back shows he can still go close, while our rating of 64 ranks him third of eleven. The risk is a sixth last time out, and he carries 135 lb off an official mark of 59.
- Sire
- Starspangledbanner (AUS)
- Dam
- Satwa Ruby (FR) by Verglas
- Owner
- Derby Bar Syndicate
- Foaled
- 20 Apr 2020
- Stable
- Skerries, Co Dublin
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 2 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 38%
- Ratings
- Perf 64, Speed 67
Sam James
Jack Morland 0/3
Battosai has shown placed form, with a third four starts back and a fifth three runs ago, and our top-ranked 69 gives him a clear edge on an official 62 while he has run over today's trip. The risk is two unplaced efforts since and a 56-day break, so he is yet to show he's back on song.
- Sire
- Invincible Spirit (IRE)
- Dam
- Forest View (GB) by Teofilo
- Owner
- D Lovatt C Bacon
- Foaled
- 3 Apr 2023
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 3 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 37%
- Ratings
- Perf 69, Speed 66
Oisin Orr
Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore 8/42
Kinross Claret returns quickly after 12 days and has run on today's going, with a third three starts back suggesting he can bounce back; our rating of 62 ranks him fourth of eleven, above his official mark of 56. The main risk is that he was unplaced last time out and is winless in his last four starts.
- Sire
- Soldier's Call (GB)
- Dam
- Hope Against Hope (IRE) by Dark Angel
- Owner
- Claret Collective
- Foaled
- 20 Feb 2022
- Stable
- Milnathort, Perth & Kinross
- Trainer last 14 days
- 8 wins from 42 runs (19%)
- Trainer running to form
- 44%
- Ratings
- Perf 62, Speed 60
Dale Swift
Brian Ellison 1/14
Miss Veronika is winless in her last four, finishing unplaced last time, then a sixth two starts back, a sixth three starts back and a fourth four starts back, so she is hard to fancy. She has run on today's going and is fresh from 11 days ago, but our rating of 39 ranks her last of 11.
- Sire
- Cityscape (GB)
- Dam
- Sophie Gray (IRE) by Dansili
- Owner
- Kristian Strangeway
- Foaled
- 4 Apr 2022
- Stable
- Norton, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 14 runs (7%)
- Trainer running to form
- 37%
- Ratings
- Perf 39
Joanna Mason
Nick Kent 0/8
Cougar is hard to fancy, winless in his last six with an eighth last time out and a ninth three starts back, and he sits ninth of 11 on our ratings. He has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after nine days, but that is thin comfort off 126 lb.
- Sire
- Deep Impact (JPN)
- Dam
- Promise To Be True (IRE) by Galileo
- Owner
- S W Campion
- Foaled
- 21 Jan 2019
- Stable
- Brigg, Lincs
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 8 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 28%
- Ratings
- Perf 50, Speed 54
Tom Kiely-Marshall (3)
John Wainwright 1/6
Dandy's Angel is yet to win in her last six starts but has finished second twice in that spell, and a fifth last time out came just seven days ago; she has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 54 sits seventh of 11, though, so she looks more of a midfield type off 123 lb.
- Sire
- Dandy Man (IRE)
- Dam
- Party Pipit (IRE) by Desert Party
- Owner
- Anthony Ross And David Lumley
- Foaled
- 8 Feb 2017
- Stable
- Norton, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 6 runs (17%)
- Trainer running to form
- 59%
- Ratings
- Perf 54, Speed 53
Greg Fairley
Sandy Thomson 2/14
Flying Moonlight has been consistent, finishing third last time out, and a second three starts back, but he is yet to win in his last five starts. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 56 ranks him sixth of eleven, so he looks more of a place contender than a winner on 121 lb.
- Sire
- U S Navy Flag (USA)
- Dam
- Emirates Flight (GB) by New Approach
- Owner
- Mrs A M Thomson
- Foaled
- 30 Apr 2023
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 14 runs (14%)
- Trainer running to form
- 52%
- Ratings
- Perf 56, Speed 51
William Pyle
Ewan Whillans 1/8
Parole Officer comes here quickly after a fifth last time out nine days ago, but he is winless in his last six and has finished unplaced or sixth or worse in most of them. He has run on today's going and carries 121 lb off 50, though our rating of 50 ranks him eighth of eleven.
- Sire
- Without Parole (GB)
- Dam
- Kizomba (GB) by Kodiac
- Owner
- Benjamin Stephens
- Foaled
- 4 Mar 2023
- Stable
- Hawick, Scottish Borders
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 8 runs (13%)
- Trainer running to form
- 21%
- Ratings
- Perf 51, Speed 54
Rhys Elliott (5)
Alan Brown 0/7
Galistra is winless in her last six, finishing ninth last time out and again three starts back, so she is hard to fancy after a 46-day break. She has run over today's trip and runs off 116 lb, but our figures rank her tenth of 11.
- Sire
- Galiway (GB)
- Dam
- Maestria (IRE) by Mastercraftsman
- Owner
- John Sugarman
- Foaled
- 16 Apr 2023
- Stable
- Yedingham, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 7 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 36%
- Ratings
- Perf 45, Speed 54
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.