13:20
Fatty Renshaw Memorial Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race
Class 5, 2m3½f (2m3f61y), Hurdle, 4yo+, Rated 0-105, £3,301, 10 runners
- Surface
- Turf
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Matching Energy heads our ratings on 111, narrowly ahead of Disguisedlimit on 109 and Espoir des Forges on 108, and that edge looks enough to make him the one to beat over this 20 furlongs at Carlisle. The gap is a slim one, so the dangers are obvious: Disguisedlimit and Espoir des Forges sit just a couple of pounds behind, while Whin Cover on 106 is also firmly in the mix. With Bo Cruz and Diamond White a little further back and two runners unrated, the contest looks to rest on this leading quartet, and Matching Energy gets the nod as the best of them on our figures. Matching Energy is our selection.
Runners
Harry Brown (7)
Donald McCain 2/22
Bo Cruz arrives in cracking recent form, a second last time out and a winner two and three starts back, and he has run over today's trip, but a 233-day layoff and 168 lb on his back temper enthusiasm. Our rating of 103 leaves him fifth of ten.
- Sire
- Doyen (IRE)
- Dam
- Katys Girl (IRE) by Pyrus
- Owner
- Mrs E Allen
- Foaled
- 16 Apr 2019
- Stable
- Cholmondeley, Cheshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 22 runs (9%)
- Trainer running to form
- 43%
- Ratings
- Perf 103
Jack Tudor
Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 3/30
Diamond Jim has slipped since winning five starts back, with a fifth last time out, a seventh and an unseated rider in between, so he is hard to fancy under 166 lb off an official mark of 104. A quick 19-day turnaround is a plus, but our rating of 87 ranks him eighth of ten.
- Sire
- Teofilo (IRE)
- Dam
- Lillian Russell (IRE) by Dubawi
- Owner
- Malcolm B Jones
- Foaled
- 2 Feb 2022
- Stable
- Oldcastle, Cheshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 30 runs (10%)
- Trainer running to form
- 38%
- Ratings
- Perf 87
- Wind surgery
- w 2
Charlie Deutsch
Mel Rowley 2/12
Espoir des Forges has been placed in three of his last five, including a third two starts back, and has run over today's trip, while our rating of 108 ranks him third of ten. The big risk is a 586-day absence and a pulled-up last time out, with 166 lb to carry.
- Sire
- Doctor Dino (FR)
- Dam
- Ultratlantique (FR) by Poliglote
- Owner
- Poplar Cottage Racing Club
- Foaled
- 4 Apr 2018
- Stable
- Bridgnorth, Shrops
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 12 runs (17%)
- Trainer running to form
- 38%
- Ratings
- Perf 108
Callum Bewley
Daragh Bourke 1/11
Matching Energy is the one to beat: he was runner-up two starts back, has run over today's trip and returns after a fair 25-day break. Our 111 puts him top of the ten, though he's yet to win in his last five and a burden of 165 lb is a minor concern.
- Sire
- Telescope (IRE)
- Dam
- Miliair (GB) by Muhtathir
- Owner
- Scott Lowther
- Foaled
- 7 May 2021
- Stable
- Waterbeck, Dumfries & G'way
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 11 runs (9%)
- Trainer running to form
- 32%
- Ratings
- Perf 111
Jonjo O'Neill Jr.
Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill 5/38
Fresh from a win last time out 19 days ago, Diamond White has also posted a second three starts back, and a second four starts back, and she has run over today's trip. Carrying 165 lb off an official mark of 102 is a stiff ask, and our rating of 101 has her sixth of ten.
- Sire
- Berkshire (IRE)
- Dam
- Wilde Ruby (IRE) by Oscar
- Owner
- Jeremy Germaine Hitchins
- Foaled
- 18 Apr 2021
- Stable
- Cheltenham, Gloucs
- Trainer last 14 days
- 5 wins from 38 runs (13%)
- Trainer running to form
- 41%
- Ratings
- Perf 101
- Wind surgery
- w 2
Danny McMenamin
Christopher Kellett 1/3
Disguisedlimit showed he retains ability with a third two starts back, and our 109 rating, second-best in this field of ten, sits well clear of his official 101, while he has run over today's trip. The main risk is a 178-day absence after an eighth last time, and he is yet to win in recent starts.
- Sire
- Mahler (GB)
- Dam
- Blessingindisguise (IRE) by Luso
- Owner
- Mph Racing
- Foaled
- 7 Mar 2019
- Stable
- Lathom, Lancs
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 3 runs (33%)
- Trainer running to form
- 39%
- Ratings
- Perf 109
Ryan Mania
Jackie Stephen 1/4
Karma de Cotte is hard to fancy after a ninth last time out and 232 days off, and he has been without a win in his last five starts. On the plus side, he was third four starts back, and his rating of 98 sits just below his official 101.
- Sire
- Robin Du Nord (FR)
- Dam
- Ancolie De Cotte (FR) by Dom Alco
- Owner
- P G Stephen
- Foaled
- 30 Apr 2020
- Stable
- Lilliesleaf, Roxburghshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 4 runs (25%)
- Trainer running to form
- 52%
- Ratings
- Perf 98
Brian Hughes
John Dawson 0/3
Whin Cover arrives in good heart after back-to-back thirds, the latest just 23 days ago, and our 106 figure sits well clear of his official 100. The risk is he's yet to win in his last five starts, while 163 lb is a hefty burden to carry.
- Sire
- Sogann (FR)
- Dam
- Poppy Day (GB) by Bal Harbour
- Owner
- Mrs Susan E Mason
- Foaled
- 30 Mar 2021
- Stable
- Cleveland, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 3 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 50%
- Ratings
- Perf 106
Toby Wynne
Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 3/30
Unexposed and open to improvement, Cool Master was unplaced last time out and has a fourth three starts back as his best recent effort, yet to win in his last five. He returns after 19 days off and carries 148 lb off an official mark of 85.
- Sire
- Masterstroke (USA)
- Dam
- Koolala (IRE) by Kayf Tara
- Owner
- Out On Business
- Foaled
- 2 May 2021
- Stable
- Oldcastle, Cheshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 30 runs (10%)
- Trainer running to form
- 38%
Peter Kavanagh
Andrew Wilson 0/0
Unexposed and open to improvement, Reliance Kid showed a bit more when fifth last time out, after a ninth two starts back, though he is yet to win in recent starts and returns from 174 days off. Official mark of 69 and 142 lb to carry.
- Sire
- Reliable Man (GB)
- Dam
- Democratie (FR) by Ballingarry
- Owner
- Clouds Of Orton
- Foaled
- 17 Apr 2019
- Stable
- Orton, Cumbria
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 0 runs (None%)
- Trainer running to form
- 35%
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.