14:30
Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap
5f, Flat, 3yo+, €7,200, 13 runners
- Going
- POLYTRACK: STANDARD
- Surface
- AW
- Weather
- Sunny
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Harry's Hill is our selection here, and while our figures put Tarsus five pounds ahead, we prefer the former on a progressive profile and a fitness edge that should count over this 5f at Dundalk. He rates 75 on our figures, level with Cuban Grey and two pounds clear of Sovereign Cry, so he sits right in the thick of a competitive 13-runner sprint. Tarsus is the obvious danger as the top-rated runner on 80, with Cuban Grey and Sovereign Cry also needing respect, and this is far from a confident call. Even so, Harry's Hill's improving profile makes him the one to side with.
Runners
Sadhbh Tormey (7)
John M Harney 0/0
Tarsus has been well beaten recently, with a seventh last time out and an eighth two starts back, and he returns after 651 days off, but he has run over today's trip and going before and tops our ratings at 80 against an official 74. The big risk is that long absence, plus 144 lb from stall five.
- Sire
- Kuroshio (AUS)
- Dam
- Cilicia (IRE) by Dandy Man
- Owner
- Patrick G Harney
- Foaled
- 4 Mar 2021
- Stable
- Ballybeg, Croghan
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 0 runs (None%)
- Trainer running to form
- 47%
- Ratings
- Perf 80, Speed 80
Jimmy Dalton (7)
Jack W Davison 0/4
Initial Blue won three and four starts back but has since finished a sixth last time out, and another sixth two starts back, so the form has cooled; he has run over today's trip and going, yet 143 lb from an official 73 and a 70 rating ranked ninth of 13 point to a midfield role.
- Sire
- Blue Point (IRE)
- Dam
- Summer Dream (IRE) by Oasis Dream
- Owner
- Staton Flurry
- Foaled
- 17 Apr 2022
- Stable
- Dunboyne, Co Meath
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 4 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 49%
- Ratings
- Perf 70, Speed 65
Luke McAteer
Patrick J McKenna 0/1
Cuban Grey has run over today's trip and on this going, and our ratings have him third of 13 with a speed figure of 76, so he is a leading threat from stall 12 off 142 lb. The risk is a form line of two eighths and an unplaced run last time out, leaving him winless in his last six.
- Sire
- Havana Grey (GB)
- Dam
- Tout Va Bien (IRE) by Verglas
- Owner
- Mckenna Partnership
- Foaled
- 14 Apr 2020
- Stable
- Dugannon, Co Tyrone
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 1 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 34%
- Ratings
- Perf 75, Speed 76
Nicola Burns (5)
Gerard Keane 0/5
Lethimfly won last time out after four unplaced runs before a seventh, and has run over today's trip and going, but a 23-day break and 142 lb from stall nine from an official rating of 72 leave little margin, with our rating of 71 putting him eighth of 13.
- Sire
- Ribchester (IRE)
- Dam
- Our Joy (IRE) by Kodiac
- Owner
- Boyneside Syndicate
- Foaled
- 19 Apr 2022
- Stable
- Trim, Co Meath
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 5 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 36%
- Ratings
- Perf 71, Speed 68
Camillus Byrne (10)
Adrian McGuinness 2/22
Fourth last time out, and a winner two starts back, Coincidental Glory is consistent in recent runs and quick back after seven days, having run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 137 lb from stall seven, he is ranked fifth of 13 by our rating, so he looks a solid midfield sort rather than a standout.
- Sire
- Cotai Glory (GB)
- Dam
- Coincidently (GB) by Acclamation
- Owner
- Cyril Mcmullan J Fairhurst
- Foaled
- 15 Apr 2023
- Stable
- Lusk, Co Dublin
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 22 runs (9%)
- Trainer running to form
- 26%
- Ratings
- Perf 72, Speed 70
Mary Shoelaces b D
27 days
5yo, 9-11, OR 67 671459
J: Jessica O'Gorman (7) · T: Eddie & Patrick Harty
Jessica O'Gorman (7)
Eddie & Patrick Harty 2/6
Mary Shoelaces won four starts back but has since finished a fourth, a fifth and then a ninth last time out, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 71 sits above her official 67, though carrying 137 lb from stall six after 27 days off, she looks a mid-pack type.
- Sire
- U S Navy Flag (USA)
- Dam
- Mary's Daughter (GB) by Royal Applause
- Owner
- Edward P Harty
- Foaled
- 10 Mar 2021
- Stable
- Curragh, Co Kildare
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 6 runs (33%)
- Trainer running to form
- 29%
- Ratings
- Perf 71, Speed 75
Chris Hayes
P J F Murphy 0/5
Mint Man won three starts back but has been unplaced in his last two, and a 70-day break raises fitness questions; he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 71 sits a few pounds above his official 67, though 137 lb from draw 10 leaves him only seventh of 13.
- Sire
- Due Diligence (USA)
- Dam
- Ahwahnee (GB) by Compton Place
- Owner
- Real Horse Degen Club
- Foaled
- 16 May 2021
- Stable
- Castlecomer, Co Kilkenny
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 5 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 37%
- Ratings
- Perf 71, Speed 71
Declan McDonogh
Daniel James Murphy 2/9
Sovereign Cry has been well beaten in recent outings, a ninth last time out and a fourth six starts back his best finish, but he's quick back after seven days and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 73 ranks him fourth of 13, though the main risk is that he's yet to show any sign of a return to form.
- Sire
- Ten Sovereigns (IRE)
- Dam
- Araajmh (USA) by Street Cry
- Owner
- John B Ohagan Mrs John Murphy
- Foaled
- 4 May 2023
- Stable
- Curragh, Co Kildare
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 9 runs (22%)
- Trainer running to form
- 36%
- Ratings
- Perf 73, Speed 69
Colin Keane
Martin Hassett 0/4
Harry's Hill is our pick on profile: he has run over today's trip and going before, is fit after just ten days off, and won five starts back after a second six starts back. Recent runs have been quieter, but our rating of 75 ranks him second of 13 from draw eight.
- Sire
- Heeraat (IRE)
- Dam
- Lexington Rose (GB) by Captain Gerrard
- Owner
- The Tipp Ramblers Partnership
- Foaled
- 31 Mar 2018
- Stable
- Burnchurch, Co Tipperary
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 4 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 46%
- Ratings
- Perf 75, Speed 75
Robyn Donaghue-Leahy (7)
Patrick J Flynn 3/7
Jordan Breeze won last time out just 12 days ago, but that came after a run of finishes from fifth down to eighth, and he carries 132 lb from draw 11. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our rating of 61 ranks him 12th of 13.
- Sire
- Starspangledbanner (AUS)
- Dam
- Little Sweetheart (IRE) by Lawman
- Owner
- Mrs Patrick J Flynn
- Foaled
- 29 Apr 2022
- Stable
- Carrick-On-Suir, Co Waterford
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 7 runs (43%)
- Trainer running to form
- 38%
- Ratings
- Perf 61, Speed 69
Patrick McGettigan (5)
Adrian McGuinness 2/22
Second last time out and third two starts back show he's in decent nick after just 12 days, and he has run over today's trip and going, but a win five starts back is his only success in six and he's ranked 11th of 13 on our figures, carrying 130 lb from stall 2.
- Sire
- Kodi Bear (IRE)
- Dam
- Mienvee Flyer (GB) by Pivotal
- Owner
- John Francis Ryan
- Foaled
- 11 Mar 2023
- Stable
- Lusk, Co Dublin
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 22 runs (9%)
- Trainer running to form
- 26%
- Ratings
- Perf 63, Speed 66
James Ryan
Edward Lynam 1/3
Winless in his last five and beaten into eighth last time out, Astute Power is hard to fancy, with a fourth two starts back the best of his recent efforts. He has run over today's trip and going, and 21 days off is fine, but our rating of 56 ranks him last of 13.
- Sire
- Profitable (IRE)
- Dam
- Cool Power (IRE) by Verglas
- Owner
- Exors Of The Late Mrs S Power
- Foaled
- 5 May 2022
- Stable
- Dunshaughlin, Co Meath
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 3 runs (33%)
- Trainer running to form
- 29%
- Ratings
- Perf 57, Speed 60
Reese Holohan (5)
Gavin Cromwell 7/39
Treasured Royal is winless in her last six, with a fifth last time out the best of her recent efforts and four unplaced runs before that, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after 12 days, but 123 lb from draw 13 is a big ask, and our rating of 65 ranks her tenth of 13.
- Sire
- Nando Parrado (GB)
- Dam
- Treasured (IRE) by Dark Angel
- Owner
- Kiva Cromwell Coragh Bloodstock Limited
- Foaled
- 23 Mar 2023
- Stable
- Navan, Co. Meath
- Trainer last 14 days
- 7 wins from 39 runs (18%)
- Trainer running to form
- 49%
- Ratings
- Perf 65, Speed 68
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.