18:30
bettingsites.co.uk Free Bets Offers Nursery Handicap Stakes
Class 5, 6f (6f16y), Flat, 2yo, Rated 0-75, £3,978, 13 runners
- Going
- TAPETA: STANDARD
- Surface
- AW
- Weather
- Sunny Intervals
- Stalls
- 5f - Centre; Remainder - Inside
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Bahia Bonita No. 9, stall 7
Jack Nicholls · Jack Jones
✓ Distance winner ✓ Won last time out ✓ Trainer in form (3/9, 14 days)
Bahia Bonita gets the nod at Southwell, with her progressive profile making her the one to be on in a competitive 14-runner sprint. She sits on a rating of 80, just three pounds behind the top-rated Louis The Fifth, and that small gap looks well worth overlooking given the upward trajectory she is on. Louis The Fifth is the obvious danger as the highest-rated runner, while Wait Geordie and Sioux Moon, both on 79, are only a pound behind our selection and cannot be dismissed. Still, Bahia Bonita looks the most likely to keep improving and is the pick.
Runners
George Wood
Dylan Cunha 3/17
Valdoro was a poor ninth last time out, though a fourth two starts back and a third three starts back show he can run respectably, and he has run over today's trip. Winless in his last four, he carries 135 lb from stall four off a 25-day break, with our rating of 75 putting him eighth of 14.
- Sire
- No Nay Never (USA)
- Dam
- Kodiva (IRE) by Kodiac
- Owner
- S Hashish J Magnier
- Foaled
- 21 Apr 2024
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 17 runs (18%)
- Trainer running to form
- 53%
- Ratings
- Perf 75, Speed 71
Jason Hart
Patrick Owens 0/4
Lady Henshaw arrives in good heart, a winner last time out and second two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. But 135 lb from stall 11 is a stiff ask, and our rating of 66 ranks her last of 14.
- Sire
- Blackbeard (IRE)
- Dam
- Skylight (IRE) by Acclamation
- Owner
- Valmont
- Foaled
- 29 Mar 2024
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 4 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 52%
- Ratings
- Perf 66, Speed 69
Luke Morris
James Tate 2/13
Grey Tamam was second last time out, with an eighth and a third before that, and she has run over today's trip, though she is yet to win in her last three starts. A 35-day break and 135 lb from stall five temper the appeal, but our rating of 78 puts her fifth of 14.
- Sire
- Churchill (IRE)
- Dam
- Crotchet (GB) by Lethal Force
- Owner
- Mr Jaber Abdullah
- Foaled
- 10 Apr 2024
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 13 runs (15%)
- Trainer running to form
- 48%
- Ratings
- Perf 78, Speed 77
Luke Catton (3)
Hugo Palmer 5/31
Wait Geordie is rated 79 by us, third of 14, and that sits above his official mark of 74, while a sixth last time out came only 10 days ago and was an improvement on his ninth before that. Yet to win in his last six, he's still a worry, as finishes of eighth, seventh and ninth hardly shout reliability.
- Sire
- Mehmas (IRE)
- Dam
- Miss Jingles (IRE) by Exceed And Excel
- Owner
- R R Partnership
- Foaled
- 4 Mar 2024
- Stable
- Malpas, Cheshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 5 wins from 31 runs (16%)
- Trainer running to form
- 39%
- Ratings
- Perf 79, Speed 73
Billy Loughnane
George Boughey 5/18
Dowman arrives in sound recent form, second last time out and a winner four starts back, though he has finished second in four of his last six and has a fifth in there too. He has run over today's trip, but 37 days off and 133 lb from draw 9 temper things, and our rating of 78 ranks him sixth of 14.
- Sire
- Sioux Nation (USA)
- Dam
- Colombe (IRE) by Mehmas
- Owner
- R P Jones
- Foaled
- 1 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 5 wins from 18 runs (28%)
- Trainer running to form
- 57%
- Ratings
- Perf 78, Speed 66
Callum Shepherd
Michael Bell 2/16
Louis The Fifth tops our ranking at 83 and has run over today's trip, with a second and a third among his last five starts and a quick 19-day turnaround, while his official 73 looks workable from stall 1. The main risk is that he is winless in that spell and signed off with an eighth last time out.
- Sire
- No Nay Never (USA)
- Dam
- Go Angellica (IRE) by Kheleyf
- Owner
- I Madueke
- Foaled
- 12 Mar 2024
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 16 runs (13%)
- Trainer running to form
- 41%
- Ratings
- Perf 83, Speed 73
Pierre-Louis Jamin
K. R. Burke 6/42
Casino Star was second last time out and fresh from just 11 days ago, with a third and another second also in his last six runs, and he has run over today's trip and going. Yet he is winless in that spell, and 133 lb from draw 6 leaves him a midfield sort on our rating of 77.
- Sire
- Cotai Glory (GB)
- Dam
- Flying Sparkle (IRE) by Fast Company
- Owner
- Roger Peel Mrs E Burke
- Foaled
- 6 Mar 2024
- Stable
- Coverham, North Yorkshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 6 wins from 42 runs (14%)
- Trainer running to form
- 53%
- Ratings
- Perf 77, Speed 78
Sam James
Kevin Ryan 1/31
Twice third in her last two starts, Miss Havisham has been running respectably, but a 108-day break and a yard managing just 1/31 in the last 14 days make her hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip, though our figures rank her 12th of 14 and she is yet to win in that spell.
- Sire
- Starspangledbanner (AUS)
- Dam
- Reyaadah (GB) by Tamayuz
- Owner
- Exors Of The Late Sheikh Mohammed Obaid
- Foaled
- 5 May 2024
- Stable
- Hambleton, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 31 runs (3%)
- Trainer running to form
- 41%
- Ratings
- Perf 70
Jack Nicholls (3)
Jack Jones 3/9
Bahia Bonita arrives a last-time-out winner, with a third two starts back and a fourth three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before. A 30-day break looks fine, and our rating of 80 puts her second of 14, though 129 lb is a notable burden from draw 7.
- Sire
- Time Test (GB)
- Dam
- Bahia Star (GB) by Twilight Son
- Owner
- Bb Bloodstock
- Foaled
- 2 Mar 2024
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 9 runs (33%)
- Trainer running to form
- 39%
- Ratings
- Perf 80, Speed 54
Paddy Bradley
Charlie Fellowes 1/9
Sioux Moon arrives fit after 28 days off, with a second two starts back and a third four starts back, and she has run over today's trip on this going before; our rating of 79 puts her fourth of 14. The main risk is a fifth last time out and she is yet to win in her last four starts, with 128 lb from draw 12.
- Sire
- Sioux Nation (USA)
- Dam
- Morocco Moon (GB) by Rock Of Gibraltar
- Owner
- Miss A C Bamford
- Foaled
- 14 Mar 2024
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 9 runs (11%)
- Trainer running to form
- 47%
- Ratings
- Perf 79, Speed 71
Oisin McSweeney
Richard & Peter Fahey 4/47
North Star Kodi was beaten into eighth last time out after a pair of thirds, two and three starts back, and he returns after 40 days, having run over today's trip before. He is yet to win in his last three starts, and our rating of 72 ranks him ninth of 14, so he looks a midfield sort off 128 lb from draw 3.
- Sire
- Kodi Bear (IRE)
- Dam
- Revolutionintheair (USA) by Declaration Of War
- Owner
- Percy Green Racing 2
- Foaled
- 5 Mar 2024
- Stable
- Musley Bank, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 4 wins from 47 runs (9%)
- Trainer running to form
- 44%
- Ratings
- Perf 72, Speed 66
P. J. McDonald
Ollie Sangster 4/18
Kigali is hard to fancy, ranked 11 of 14 on our figures and yet to win in his last six starts, with three finishes of seventh or worse in that spell. Back-to-back seconds last time out and two starts back, plus a quick 14-day turnaround and experience of today's trip, do give him some appeal.
- Sire
- Zoustar (AUS)
- Dam
- Polar Circle (USA) by Royal Academy
- Owner
- Mr And Mrs B V Sangster
- Foaled
- 13 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Marlborough, Wilts
- Trainer last 14 days
- 4 wins from 18 runs (22%)
- Trainer running to form
- 62%
- Ratings
- Perf 70, Speed 58
Jack Dace (5)
Stuart Williams 0/12
Holi Scarlett has faded to a sixth and then an eighth last time out after a win six starts back, and she is hard to fancy as an outsider on our figures. She has run over today's trip and going, and a 39-day break gives her a fresh edge, but 127 lb from stall 10 is a big ask.
- Sire
- Bungle Inthejungle (GB)
- Dam
- Zuzinia (IRE) by Mujadil
- Owner
- James Parry And Partners
- Foaled
- 16 Apr 2024
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 12 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 41%
- Ratings
- Perf 69, Speed 75
Mason Paetel (3)
Hugo Palmer 5/31
Donegal Rose was fifth last time out after a ninth, though she did win four starts back, and she has run over today's trip before. A 40-day break and 127 lb from draw 14 temper the appeal, and our rating of 71 ranks her tenth of 14.
- Sire
- Kodiac (GB)
- Dam
- My Kathleen (IRE) by Roderic O'Connor
- Owner
- Cannon Morris Owen Wilson
- Foaled
- 6 Mar 2024
- Stable
- Malpas, Cheshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 5 wins from 31 runs (16%)
- Trainer running to form
- 39%
- Ratings
- Perf 71, Speed 69
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.