19:30
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Class 6, 1m (1m0f13y), Flat, 3yo, Rated 0-65, £3,245, 14 runners
- Going
- TAPETA: STANDARD
- Surface
- AW
- Weather
- Sunny Intervals
- Stalls
- 5f - Centre; Remainder - Inside
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Ballybunion gets the nod in a competitive 14-runner Class 6 over a mile at Southwell, sharing the top rating of 74 with Mayflower Billy and looking the one to side with on the numbers. The danger list is a tight one: Mayflower Billy is level on our figures, while Power Strike is only two pounds behind and Daretobedifferent three, so there is little room for error in a race this open. Nothing else is rated above 69, which leaves the leading quartet with an edge over the rest, but Ballybunion only just heads that group. We side with Ballybunion, albeit with low confidence given how closely the principals are bunched.
Runners
P. J. McDonald
James Tate 2/13
Sterling Fortune has been consistent without a win, with a fourth two starts back and thirds before that, and she has run over today's trip and going, but she was unplaced last time out after 33 days off. Carrying 135 lb from stall 12, she looks a midfield type, with our rating of 66 only just above her official 65.
- Sire
- Kameko (USA)
- Dam
- Sterling Sound (USA) by Street Cry
- Owner
- Fortune Racing
- Foaled
- 2 May 2023
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 13 runs (15%)
- Trainer running to form
- 48%
- Ratings
- Perf 66, Speed 71
Billy Loughnane
Ollie Sangster 4/18
Buckland Belle won three and six starts back and was second two starts back, but she faded to a seventh last time out, 20 days ago; she has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 135 lb from draw 10, she looks a mid-pack type, with our rating of 68 ranking her sixth of 14.
- Sire
- St Mark's Basilica (FR)
- Dam
- Federation (GB) by Motivator
- Owner
- P Mcnally And Partners
- Foaled
- 21 Apr 2023
- Stable
- Marlborough, Wilts
- Trainer last 14 days
- 4 wins from 18 runs (22%)
- Trainer running to form
- 62%
- Ratings
- Perf 68, Speed 57
Ryan Sexton
Julie Camacho 0/17
Power Strike has had a busy spell without a win, finishing seventh last time out and seventh again two starts back, but he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 72 sits well clear of his official 64, so he's a leading danger, with a 49-day absence the one concern.
- Sire
- Night Of Thunder (IRE)
- Dam
- Satiate (GB) by Frankel
- Owner
- Always Trying Syndicate
- Foaled
- 26 Jan 2023
- Stable
- Norton, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 17 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 35%
- Ratings
- Perf 72, Speed 62
- Wind surgery
- w 1
Sam James
Jessica Macey 0/6
Mayflower Billy has run over today's trip and going, and a third three starts back plus a fourth two starts back show he's competitive, while our rating of 74 is ten clear of his official 64 and ranks him second of 14. The risk is he was unplaced last time and remains winless in his last six.
- Sire
- Tasleet (GB)
- Dam
- Darrfonah (IRE) by Singspiel
- Owner
- Mayflower Racing Club
- Foaled
- 25 May 2023
- Stable
- Doncaster, S Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 6 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 12%
- Ratings
- Perf 74, Speed 67
Callum Shepherd
Michael Bell 2/16
Ballybunion bids to build on a third last time out, just 23 days ago, and has run over today's trip and on this going before. Our top-rated runner at 74 against an official mark of 63, he is yet to win in his last six starts but looks the one to beat from stall 4.
- Sire
- Footstepsinthesand (GB)
- Dam
- Princess Pearl (IRE) by Teofilo
- Owner
- I Foster D Fish W Dale S Dale
- Foaled
- 30 Jan 2023
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 16 runs (13%)
- Trainer running to form
- 41%
- Ratings
- Perf 74, Speed 69
Jason Hart
Simon Hodgson 0/4
Kiss For An Angel has been out of sorts lately, with a seventh last time out and a ninth three starts back, though a second four starts back shows he has ability. A 120-day absence and 132 lb are against him, but he has run over today's trip and our rating of 69 sits above his official 62.
- Sire
- Dark Angel (IRE)
- Dam
- Kiss For A Jewel (IRE) by Kingman
- Owner
- P T Newell
- Foaled
- 20 Feb 2023
- Stable
- Dogmersfield, Hants
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 4 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 42%
- Ratings
- Perf 69, Speed 56
Rhys Clutterbuck
David O'Meara 4/50
Ceinture d'Orion is yet to win in her last six, but a fourth last time out and thirds five and three starts back show she's competitive, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 132 lb from stall nine after 32 days off, she looks more of a nearly-horse than a leading contender.
- Sire
- Sea The Stars (IRE)
- Dam
- Quiet Protest (USA) by Kingmambo
- Owner
- Georginio Rutter Jinky Farms
- Foaled
- 11 Mar 2023
- Stable
- Upper Helmsley, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 4 wins from 50 runs (8%)
- Trainer running to form
- 34%
- Ratings
- Perf 65, Speed 69
George Wood
Richard Spencer 0/13
Yazoo was third last time out and a winner two starts back, which is a solid recent profile, but a break of 37 days and a ranking of 11th of 14 on our figures make him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and has drawn stall one.
- Sire
- Zoustar (AUS)
- Dam
- Furious (GB) by Oasis Dream
- Owner
- Phil Cunningham
- Foaled
- 16 Jan 2023
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 13 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 36%
- Ratings
- Perf 61, Speed 60
Ryan Kavanagh (3)
Des Donovan 0/3
Our rating of 71 ranks her fourth of 14, well clear of her official 61, and she has run over today's trip and going before, back quickly after 11 days. The risk is form: a ninth last time out, and yet to win in her last six, with 131 lb from draw 8.
- Sire
- Starman (GB)
- Dam
- Galaktea (IRE) by Statue Of Liberty
- Owner
- River Racing
- Foaled
- 22 Feb 2023
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 3 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 43%
- Ratings
- Perf 71, Speed 66
Darragh Keenan
John Mackie 0/2
Sixth last time out after a second two starts back, she has been in the frame often enough in recent runs and has run over today's trip and going, but a lone win six starts back and a 131 lb burden temper the case. Our rating of 65 ranks her eighth of 14, drawn 11.
- Sire
- Massaat (IRE)
- Dam
- Sunshineandbubbles (GB) by Multiplex
- Owner
- Amazing Racing
- Foaled
- 12 Jan 2023
- Stable
- Church Broughton, Derbys
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 2 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 22%
- Ratings
- Perf 65, Speed 63
Edward Greatrex
Warren Greatrex 3/8
Starakova has won twice in her last six, including two starts back, but she was unplaced last time out after 25 days off, and our figures rank her 13th of 14. She has run over today's trip and going, and carries 128 lb from stall six.
- Sire
- Starman (GB)
- Dam
- Abbakova (IRE) by Dandy Man
- Owner
- Howard Sutton Molony Weller Cowles
- Foaled
- 11 May 2023
- Stable
- Upper Lambourn, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 3 wins from 8 runs (38%)
- Trainer running to form
- 57%
- Ratings
- Perf 60, Speed 49
Oisin McSweeney
Richard & Peter Fahey 4/47
Aurelune returns after 47 days on the back of a second last time out and a third two starts back, yet she's winless in her last six and has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 63 only ranks her tenth of 14, and 128 lb from draw 5 leaves little margin.
- Sire
- Ghaiyyath (IRE)
- Dam
- Queen Of Carthage (USA) by Cape Cross
- Owner
- Sheikh Hamed Dalmook Al Maktoum
- Foaled
- 15 May 2023
- Stable
- Musley Bank, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 4 wins from 47 runs (9%)
- Trainer running to form
- 44%
- Ratings
- Perf 63, Speed 55
Luke Morris
Sir Mark Prescott Bt 2/26
Winless in his last three, finishing seventh last time out, a sixth two starts back and a seventh three back, Alembic returns after 189 days off and is hard to fancy, ranked last of 14 on our figures. He has run over today's trip and going, which is about the best that can be said.
- Sire
- Study Of Man (IRE)
- Dam
- Alvarita (GB) by Selkirk
- Owner
- The Alembic Partnership
- Foaled
- 14 Apr 2023
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 26 runs (8%)
- Trainer running to form
- 68%
- Ratings
- Perf 55, Speed 60
- Wind surgery
- w 1
Barry McHugh
Ivan Furtado 4/29
Crown Inn To Win has slipped to a fifth last time out and a seventh before that, after a win four starts back, so the recent trend is the wrong way. He has run over today's trip and going, and 21 days off is fine, but our figures rank him 12th of 14.
- Sire
- Ubettabelieveit (IRE)
- Dam
- Greek Oasis (GB) by Oasis Dream
- Owner
- Alfa Site Services Ltd
- Foaled
- 11 Mar 2023
- Stable
- Easingwold, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 4 wins from 29 runs (14%)
- Trainer running to form
- 38%
- Ratings
- Perf 61, Speed 54
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.