17:15
Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap Stakes
Class 5, 1m (1m5y), Flat, 2yo, Rated 0-75, £3,140, 5 runners
- Going
- TAPETA: STANDARD
- Surface
- AW
- Weather
- Overcast
- Stalls
- 1m2f - Outside; Straight - Inside
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Pequenita No. 3, stall 4
P. J. McDonald · Andrew Balding
✓ Top rated ✓ Trainer in form (13/48, 14 days)
Pequenita heads the field on our figures at 85, and that makes her the one to beat in this five-runner Class 5 over a mile on the Newcastle all-weather. Lady Caroline Lamb is the chief danger and sits only narrowly behind on 83, so she should not be dismissed, while Xochipilli on 77 and Astral Crown on 71 look a little further adrift. With a fair edge over the biggest threats in a small field, Pequenita looks the most likely winner, and she is our selection.
Runners
Jason Hart
Charlie Johnston 1/30
Lady Caroline Lamb won three starts back and has run over today's trip, while a 16-day turnaround keeps her fit; our rating of 83 ranks her second of five. The main risk is a stable cold at 0/30 in the last 14 days, after a fifth and a seventh in her last two.
- Sire
- Study Of Man (IRE)
- Dam
- Aventuriere (GB) by Archipenko
- Owner
- Miss K Rausing
- Foaled
- 1 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Middleham Moor, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 30 runs (3%)
- Trainer running to form
- 37%
- Ratings
- Perf 83, Speed 80
Mark Winn
David O'Meara 6/41
Astral Crown has been consistent without winning, finishing a fourth last time out, a third two starts back and a fifth three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before from draw 1. The main risk is a 36-day break and a hefty 133 lb, with our rating of 71 only fourth best of five.
- Sire
- Naval Crown (GB)
- Dam
- Freedom's Light (GB) by Galileo
- Owner
- Barbara Alick Richmond
- Foaled
- 16 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Upper Helmsley, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 6 wins from 41 runs (15%)
- Trainer running to form
- 30%
- Ratings
- Perf 71, Speed 64
P. J. McDonald
Andrew Balding 13/48
Pequenita has finished second in each of her last three starts, with a third and a fourth before that, and she has run over today's trip and going. Winless in her last five, she is the top-rated runner on our figures, and with the yard in form she looks the one to beat despite 39 days off.
- Sire
- Dubawi (IRE)
- Dam
- Sibila Spain (IRE) by Frankel
- Owner
- Newsells Park Stud Bloodstock 24
- Foaled
- 22 Mar 2024
- Stable
- Kingsclere, Hants
- Trainer last 14 days
- 13 wins from 48 runs (27%)
- Trainer running to form
- 59%
- Ratings
- Perf 85, Speed 67
Jonny Peate
Mark Loughnane 2/19
Xochipilli has been consistent, finishing fourth last time out, third two starts back and fourth three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. His 77 rating sits above his official 72, but he is yet to win and carries 132 lb from stall 2.
- Sire
- Blue Point (IRE)
- Dam
- Diantha (IRE) by Dansili
- Owner
- Laurence Bellman Partner
- Foaled
- 23 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Rock Farm, Worcs
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 19 runs (11%)
- Trainer running to form
- 24%
- Ratings
- Perf 77, Speed 66
Kevin Stott
Hugo Palmer 1/21
Zirconic is hard to fancy, having finished ninth last time out and eighth two starts back, and she is winless in her last four with a yard struggling at one from 20. On the plus side, she has run over today's trip, is back after 16 days, and our rating of 71 sits just above her official 69.
- Sire
- Showcasing (GB)
- Dam
- Simplicity (FR) by Casamento
- Owner
- Waters & Owen
- Foaled
- 8 Feb 2024
- Stable
- Malpas, Cheshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 21 runs (5%)
- Trainer running to form
- 38%
- Ratings
- Perf 71, Speed 65
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.