15:00
Unibet's New VAR Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes
Class 6, 1m, Flat, 3yo+, Rated 0-65, £3,140, 13 runners
Winning time 1m 37.45s
- Going
- Standard / Slow
- Surface
- AW
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Valentine Boy gets the vote in this wide-open 14-runner Kempton Class 6, rated just a pound behind Dandy G Boy but preferred for a progressive profile and a fitness edge that should count over the mile on a standard-to-slow surface. Dandy G Boy is the obvious threat as the narrowly top-rated runner, while Port Erin is only a pound further back on 73 and Wield, on 70, is another who could take a hand. With so little between the leading trio, this is far from a confident call, but Valentine Boy's upward trajectory makes him the one to be on. Valentine Boy is our selection.
Result
Alfie Redman (7)
Max Comley
Raced prominent from the start - went to the front 4f out - driven over 1f out then stuck on strongly to the line - won with control
Hollie Doyle
Archie Watson
Raced in the pack's midst - moved up to press the front runners over 2f out and was pushed along 2f out - finished with great vigour in the final furlong but denied by a length in second
Jack Dace (5)
Luke Dace
Held up at back - made progress over 3f out - pushed along from 2f out and kept finding strongly to finish third
Charles Bishop
Adam Kirby
Raced in the pack's middle - moved up to press the front 3f out then pushed along 2f out - kept on late from over 1f out to finish 4th
Lewis Edmunds
James Tate
Prominent in the pack's midst early - shaken up over 2f out - plugged on at the same speed from over 1f out to finish 5th
David Probert
Tony Carroll
Held up in last group - made ground over 2f out - plugged on at same speed from 2f out to finish 6th
Kieran O'Neill
Mike Murphy
Raced at the rear of the pack early - improved to challenge the front over 2f out - folded tamely inside the final furlong to finish 7th
No. 10, stall 11
4yo, 9-7, OR 62
J: Dylan Hogan · T: Julia & Shelley Birkett
Dylan Hogan
Julia & Shelley Birkett
Missed the break - among the backmarkers early - pushed along from 2f out and kept on without threatening - finished 8th
Ashley Lewis (3)
Mark Hoad
Showed in front by a slim margin early - overtaken 4f out - came under pressure and faded over 2f out - finished 9th
Luke Morris
Joseph Parr
Prominent early and covered extra ground out wide - urged along 4f out and dropped back through the field - well adrift over 2f out and finished 10th
Edward Greatrex
Warren Greatrex
Up with the pace but wide throughout - folded tamely over 2f out to finish 11th
Molly Gunn (5)
Tony Carroll
Missed the break badly and ceded about 10 lengths - rear throughout and never a factor - finished 12th
Paddy Bradley
Simon Dow
Missed the break - struggled throughout and dropped away 4f out - finished 13th and virtually walking at the end
Non-runners: Senor Campanaro
Racecard
Jack Dace (5)
Luke Dace 0/4
Valentine Boy has been consistent without winning lately, finishing fifth last time out after a sixth and a fourth, and a 26-day break suits his fitness. He has run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 74 ranks him second of 14, though he's up to 135 lb from stall 2.
- Sire
- Havana Grey (GB)
- Dam
- Beleave (GB) by Avonbridge
- Owner
- Richard L Page
- Foaled
- 14 Feb 2022
- Stable
- Billingshurst, W Sussex
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 4 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 29%
- Ratings
- Perf 74, Speed 66
Ashley Lewis (3)
Mark Hoad 0/1
Bobacious won three starts back but has since finished a seventh, then a sixth last time out, and returns after 55 days off. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 67 sits eighth of 14, so he looks a midfield sort carrying 135 lb from stall 14.
- Sire
- Telescope (IRE)
- Dam
- First Experience (GB) by Tamayuz
- Owner
- Devon Racing Syndicate
- Foaled
- 18 Apr 2020
- Stable
- Lewes, E Sussex
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 1 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 40%
- Ratings
- Perf 67, Speed 70
Alfie Redman (7)
Max Comley 1/12
Snooker McCrew arrives on a four-timer after winning last time out, two starts back and three starts back, and has run over today's trip, but 135 lb off an official 64 is a big ask. Our figures rank him 14th of 14, and he returns after 28 days from draw 10.
- Sire
- Masar (IRE)
- Dam
- Stella Point (IRE) by Pivotal
- Owner
- The Milk Sheiks
- Foaled
- 29 Mar 2021
- Stable
- Warminster, Wiltshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 12 runs (8%)
- Trainer running to form
- 38%
- Ratings
- Perf 61, Speed 56
Molly Gunn (5)
Tony Carroll 1/35
Royal Jet has slipped to a ninth and a seventh in his last two outings, and with the yard just 1/40 lately he is hard to fancy, though a winner three starts back and again six starts back, plus experience of today's trip and going, keeps him from being hopeless. He carries 135 lb from draw 13.
- Sire
- Exceed And Excel (AUS)
- Dam
- Goleta (IRE) by Royal Applause
- Owner
- Mrs P Clark Partner
- Foaled
- 21 Mar 2020
- Stable
- Cropthorne, Worcs
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 35 runs (3%)
- Trainer running to form
- 32%
- Ratings
- Perf 65, Speed 66
David Probert
Tony Carroll 1/35
Port Erin is rated 73 by us, third of 14, and has run over today's trip and going before, so a 64 official mark looks workable for a gelding drawn 7 and fit after 26 days off. The risk is form: eighth last time out, and a fourth two starts back is his best finish in a winless run of six.
- Sire
- Le Havre (IRE)
- Dam
- Poppet's Promise (GB) by Bated Breath
- Owner
- P G Shorrock
- Foaled
- 29 Feb 2020
- Stable
- Cropthorne, Worcs
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 35 runs (3%)
- Trainer running to form
- 32%
- Ratings
- Perf 73, Speed 69
Paddy Bradley
Simon Dow 0/7
Soy Loco is winless in his last five, with a pair of fifths and a second five starts back, and he's had a long 431 days off since an unplaced run last time out. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 69 ranks him fifth of 14, but fitness is the big question from stall eight.
- Sire
- Shaman (IRE)
- Dam
- Starry Messenger (GB) by Galileo
- Owner
- Robert Moss
- Foaled
- 5 Mar 2022
- Stable
- Epsom, Surrey
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 7 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 33%
- Ratings
- Perf 69, Speed 67
Luke Morris
Joseph Parr 0/7
Wield is a leading danger on our figures, ranked fourth of 14 with a 70 rating against an official 65, and he's fresh from a run 13 days ago having run over today's trip. The risk is form that has dried up, with unplaced efforts in his last two and a second four starts back his best recent finish.
- Sire
- Showcasing (GB)
- Dam
- Deliberate (GB) by King's Best
- Owner
- John Stocker
- Foaled
- 6 Feb 2023
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 7 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 40%
- Ratings
- Perf 70, Speed 61
Edward Greatrex
Warren Greatrex 1/12
Top-rated of the 14 on our figures at 75, Dandy G Boy has run over today's trip and on this going, and he showed his hand with a second three starts back. The risk is a modest recent run, an eighth last time out, after 39 days off.
- Sire
- Dandy Man (IRE)
- Dam
- Dawaa (GB) by Tamayuz
- Owner
- Mrs S Such
- Foaled
- 2 Mar 2022
- Stable
- Upper Lambourn, Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 12 runs (8%)
- Trainer running to form
- 50%
- Ratings
- Perf 75, Speed 68
Charles Bishop
Adam Kirby 2/14
South Kensington was a winner two starts back but could only manage a fifth last time out, 20 days ago, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 133 lb from stall three, her rating of 66 ranks her only tenth of 14, which caps the appeal.
- Sire
- Blue Point (IRE)
- Dam
- Moonvoy (GB) by Cape Cross
- Owner
- Adam Kirby
- Foaled
- 22 Mar 2021
- Stable
- Kirtling, Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 14 runs (14%)
- Trainer running to form
- 41%
- Ratings
- Perf 66, Speed 60
Dylan Hogan
Julia & Shelley Birkett 1/6
Beachborough Girl was a fifth last time out, and a winner two starts back, but her last run came 141 days ago, so fitness is a worry, and she has run over today's trip. Carrying 133 lb from stall 11, she is hard to fancy with our figures ranking her 11th of 14.
- Sire
- New Bay (GB)
- Dam
- Angelic Guest (IRE) by Dark Angel
- Owner
- Warren Hill Racing 1
- Foaled
- 2 Apr 2022
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 6 runs (17%)
- Trainer running to form
- 35%
- Ratings
- Perf 66, Speed 59
Kieran O'Neill
Mike Murphy 0/6
Won three starts back after three seconds on the spin, but he's tailed off since, with an eighth last time and unplaced before that; he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 67 is above his official 60, though he carries 131 lb from draw 6.
- Sire
- Bungle Inthejungle (GB)
- Dam
- Hint Of Red (IRE) by Fast Company
- Owner
- Ms Denise Tibbett
- Foaled
- 17 Mar 2021
- Stable
- Westoning, Bedfords
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 6 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 17%
- Ratings
- Perf 67, Speed 56
Hollie Doyle
Archie Watson 1/8
Palliser has been placed second in each of his last two starts, but he is yet to win in recent form and our figures rank him 13th of 14. Back after 12 days, he has run over today's trip and carries 131 lb from stall 5, though that is a lot to ask.
- Sire
- Kingman (GB)
- Dam
- Rostova (USA) by Arch
- Owner
- J Allison Partner
- Foaled
- 5 May 2023
- Stable
- Upper Lambourn, W Berks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 8 runs (13%)
- Trainer running to form
- 39%
- Ratings
- Perf 63, Speed 56
28 days, Non-runner
3yo, 9-5, OR 62 1-0829
J: Billy Loughnane · T: David Killahena & Graeme McPherson
Billy Loughnane
David Killahena & Graeme McPherson 4/10
Senor Campanaro was beaten into ninth last time out after a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, so conditions hold no fears. Our rating of 69 puts him sixth of 14, but carrying 131 lb from stall four, he needs to bounce back after 28 days off.
- Sire
- Palace Pier (GB)
- Dam
- Axana (GER) by Soldier Hollow
- Owner
- Laurence Bellman And Partners
- Foaled
- 27 Apr 2023
- Stable
- Stow-on-the-Wold, Gloucs
- Trainer last 14 days
- 4 wins from 10 runs (40%)
- Trainer running to form
- 56%
- Ratings
- Perf 69, Speed 58
Lewis Edmunds
James Tate 2/13
Blue Celestial is yet to win in her last six, though a second three starts back and another second four back show she can get involved, and she has run over today's trip and going. Fresh enough after 13 days, but a sixth last time out and 130 lb from stall one leave her a midfield type.
- Sire
- Advertise (GB)
- Dam
- Forbidden Love (GB) by Dubawi
- Owner
- Purplenblues
- Foaled
- 6 Mar 2023
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 13 runs (15%)
- Trainer running to form
- 36%
- Ratings
- Perf 68, Speed 64
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.