16:10
Hogmanay Ball At Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle Race
Class 5, 3m½f (3m0f70y), Hurdle, 4yo+, Rated 0-100, £4,225, 12 runners
- Going
- GOOD TO SOFT (GoingStick: 7.0)
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Sunny Intervals
- Stalls
- N/A
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Secret Secret heads our ratings on 95, narrowly ahead of Maura Jeanne on 93 and Bollin Matilda on 92, and that edge is enough to make him the choice in a tightly packed Class 5 contest at Ayr. The 24f trip on good to soft is the test for a top-rated runner, and he looks the one to beat on merit. Maura Jeanne and Bollin Matilda are the chief dangers, with Melbourne Ghost only a few pounds behind and capable of making this very competitive. It is a open contest, but Secret Secret gets the nod.
Runners
Murray Dodd (5)
Donald Whillans 0/3
Bollin Matilda arrives in cracking form, second last time out, a winner two starts back and second three and four runs ago, and she has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a 192-day layoff, with 168 lb to carry.
- Sire
- Yorgunnabelucky (USA)
- Dam
- Bollin Julie (GB) by Bollin Eric
- Owner
- Callum Whillans
- Foaled
- 30 May 2018
- Stable
- Hawick, Scottish Borders
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 3 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 42%
- Ratings
- Perf 92
Leah Noreci (7)
James Moffatt 0/2
Consistent sort who has finished a third two starts back and a third four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before, though he is yet to win in his last six starts. Our top-rated runner at 167 lb and a 37-day break, he looks the one to beat.
- Sire
- Born To Sea (IRE)
- Dam
- Maughami (GB) by Manduro
- Owner
- The Secrets
- Foaled
- 13 Mar 2016
- Stable
- Cartmel, Cumbria
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 2 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 33%
- Ratings
- Perf 95
Bruce Lynn
N. W. Alexander 0/10
Better Be Definite won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, but he was pulled up last time out and returns after 242 days off. Carrying 167 lb off an official mark of 94, he looks a midfield type, with our rating of 88 ranking him sixth of twelve.
- Sire
- Clovis Du Berlais (FR)
- Dam
- Definitely Better (IRE) by Definite Article
- Owner
- Ken McGarrity,hannigan,walker,c&Dwheeler
- Foaled
- 18 May 2018
- Stable
- Leslie, Fife
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 10 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 20%
- Ratings
- Perf 88
Jack Power (5)
Ian Duncan 0/4
Twice second in her last five, a second five starts back and another three starts back, she has run over today's trip and going and sits second-highest on our ratings at 93, but a 171-day absence and 165 lb are the main risk.
- Sire
- Sulamani (IRE)
- Dam
- Watch Closely Now (IRE) by Winged Love
- Owner
- I A Duncan
- Foaled
- 25 May 2017
- Stable
- Coylton, Ayrshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 4 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 23%
- Ratings
- Perf 93
Ben Smith (7)
R. Mike Smith 0/4
Ck O'Mara is hard to fancy after 192 days off, having finished a fourth last time out and a sixth the start before, with his one win in the last five coming three starts back. He has run over today's trip and our rating ranks him tenth of 12, though 160 lb is a hefty burden.
- Sire
- Shirocco (GER)
- Dam
- Siwaara (IRE) by Peintre Celebre
- Owner
- John Murphy
- Foaled
- 6 May 2021
- Stable
- Galston, E Ayrshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 4 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 29%
- Ratings
- Perf 82
Derek Fox
Leonard Kerr 0/1
Junior des Mottes arrives with a second last time out, a third two starts back and back-to-back wins before that, and he has run over today's trip and going. A 231-day absence and 159 lb on his back temper the enthusiasm, though our rating of 90 puts him fifth of twelve.
- Sire
- Castle Du Berlais (FR)
- Dam
- Sauves La Reine (FR) by Passing Sale
- Owner
- A Kerr L Kerr
- Foaled
- 27 Mar 2019
- Stable
- Irvine, North Ayrshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 1 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 26%
- Ratings
- Perf 90
Craig Nichol
Donald Whillans 0/3
Melbourne Ghost is yet to win in his last four, with a seventh last time out and a fifth two starts back, but he has run on today's going and our rating of 91 ranks him fourth of 12, making him a live threat off an official 85. The main risk is a 194-day absence, plus 158 lb on his back.
- Sire
- Ocovango (GB)
- Dam
- Tagalong (IRE) by Brian Boru
- Owner
- Mousetrap Racing
- Foaled
- 25 Apr 2021
- Stable
- Hawick, Scottish Borders
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 3 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 42%
- Ratings
- Perf 91
Peter Kavanagh
Lisa Harrison 0/5
Coventry won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, but he was only seventh last time out, just nine days ago, and carries 156 lb. Our rating of 86 ranks him seventh of 12, which sums up a mid-pack profile.
- Sire
- Galileo (IRE)
- Dam
- Moonstone (GB) by Dalakhani
- Owner
- D A Harrison Racing
- Foaled
- 23 Mar 2017
- Stable
- Aldoth, Cumbria
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 5 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 14%
- Ratings
- Perf 86
Dominic Hislop (7)
N. W. Alexander 0/10
Anamanda is yet to win in her last five starts, but a second two starts back and a fourth before that show she's competitive, and she has run over today's trip and going. Unplaced last time out and carrying 154 lb off 81 hold her back, though our rating of 86 is a little higher.
- Sire
- Reliable Man (GB)
- Dam
- Anyana (GB) by Nathaniel
- Owner
- Turcan, Tulloch, Robertson, Walker
- Foaled
- 16 Feb 2019
- Stable
- Leslie, Fife
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 10 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 20%
- Ratings
- Perf 86
Jonathon Bewley
George Bewley 1/5
Winless in his last five, Reagrove Lord was fourth last time out and fourth two starts back, but a 146-day absence and a ninth and a ninth before that make him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating ranks him 11th of 12.
- Sire
- Malinas (GER)
- Dam
- Ballerina Queen (IRE) by Be My Native
- Owner
- Southdean Racing Club
- Foaled
- 8 Apr 2018
- Stable
- Colby, Cumbria
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 5 runs (20%)
- Trainer running to form
- 16%
- Ratings
- Perf 79
Patrick Wadge
Catch Bissett 0/0
Bray Dale is winless in his last five, with two pulled-up efforts in that spell and a fifth last time out, and he returns after 182 days off, so fitness is a worry under 144 lb. He has run on today's going before, and our figures put him ninth of 12.
- Sire
- Scorpion (IRE)
- Dam
- Cherry West (IRE) by Westerner
- Owner
- Bissett Racing
- Foaled
- 21 Apr 2017
- Stable
- Leslie, Fife
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 0 runs (None%)
- Trainer running to form
- 35%
- Ratings
- Perf 86
Toby Wynne
R. Mike Smith 0/4
Lightly raced and unexposed on the evidence, Run Baby Run has yet to find the frame, finishing eighth last time out and a seventh two starts back, and he returns after 192 days off. Carrying 142 lb off an official mark of 67, he may have more to offer.
- Sire
- Mahler (GB)
- Dam
- Duffys Grange (IRE) by Daylami
- Owner
- R Michael Smith
- Foaled
- 2 May 2021
- Stable
- Galston, E Ayrshire
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 4 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 29%
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.