15:15
Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race
Class 5, 3m½f (3m0f60y), Hurdle, 3yo+, Rated 0-100, M, £3,248, 8 runners
- Going
- GOOD, Good to soft in places (GoingStick: 6.1)
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Dry
Tip for this race
All today's tips ›Our Girl Sal No. 2
Ryan Mania · Adam Nicol
✓ Distance winner ✓ Won last time out ✓ Back from a 148-day break
Our Girl Sal is the pick in this Southwell staying contest, and she gets the nod over the top-rated Blue Marvel on a fitness edge, a proven record on these conditions and a progressive profile. She is rated 90, six pounds behind Blue Marvel, but that gap looks bridgeable for one going the right way over 24 furlongs. Blue Marvel (96) and Pepite de Saphir (94) are the obvious dangers on raw figures, with Davita Blaze (89) just a pound adrift of our selection and sure to be in the mix. This looks a tight puzzle, but Our Girl Sal is the call.
Runners
Charlie Hammond
Stuart Edmunds 1/13
Blue Marvel arrives on a solid footing, having finished fourth last time out and third two starts back, while our ratings put her top of this eight-runner field. The main risk is a 219-day absence, and she also carries 168 lb.
- Sire
- Masked Marvel (GB)
- Dam
- Loriblue (FR) by Lando
- Owner
- Edmunds Racing Club
- Foaled
- 26 Jan 2021
- Stable
- Stewkley, Bucks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 13 runs (8%)
- Trainer running to form
- 50%
- Ratings
- Perf 97
Ryan Mania
Adam Nicol 1/9
Our Girl Sal arrives a winner last time out, and a winner three starts back too, so two wins in her last four make her our pick on overall profile. She has run over today's trip and going, though 148 days off and 165 lb are the reservations.
- Sire
- Sholokhov (IRE)
- Dam
- Miss Mayberry (IRE) by Bob Back
- Owner
- Berwickshire Blazers
- Foaled
- 5 Apr 2018
- Stable
- Seahouses, Northumberland
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 9 runs (11%)
- Trainer running to form
- 47%
- Ratings
- Perf 91
Jack Quinlan
Matt Crawley 0/2
Dartmouth Rose arrives on a hat-trick of wins, with a win last time out and two starts before that, and she has run over today's trip and going before. However, 182 days off, 164 lb on her back and a lowly fifth in our ranking temper the enthusiasm.
- Sire
- Dartmouth (GB)
- Dam
- Iconic Rose (GB) by Sir Harry Lewis
- Owner
- The Stablemates
- Foaled
- 6 Feb 2020
- Stable
- Newmarket, Suffolk
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 2 runs (0%)
- Trainer running to form
- 52%
- Ratings
- Perf 88
Shane Fitzgerald
Rebecca Menzies 2/13
Pepite de Saphir has a second four starts back and a fourth two starts ago to point to, and she has run on today's going before, while our rating of 94 ranks her second of eight. The risk is two pulled-up efforts in her last three, plus 66 days off and 159 lb.
- Sire
- Scorpion (IRE)
- Dam
- Pepite Rose (FR) by Bonbon Rose
- Owner
- Gay And Peter Hartley
- Foaled
- 25 Mar 2020
- Stable
- Morden, Durham
- Trainer last 14 days
- 2 wins from 13 runs (15%)
- Trainer running to form
- 27%
- Ratings
- Perf 94
Charlie Maggs
Andrew Crook 0/0
Moveonbuy was second last time out and has two seconds in her last five, yet she's winless in that spell and returns after 220 days off. She has run over today's trip and going, but 149 lb off a mark of 81 is a big ask.
- Sire
- Getaway (GER)
- Dam
- Zariyka (IRE) by Kalanisi
- Owner
- Kaycrookcartercoatesmcmann
- Foaled
- 5 May 2020
- Stable
- Coverham, N Yorks
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 0 runs (None%)
- Trainer running to form
- 35%
- Ratings
- Perf 78
Oscar Palmer (7)
Tracey Leeson 0/0
Annie Nail has been in decent form, with a win four starts back and a second and a third since, but she was only sixth last time and returns after 170 days off under 146 lb. She has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank her last of eight.
- Sire
- Doyen (IRE)
- Dam
- Castletown Girl (GB) by Bob Back
- Owner
- P Long
- Foaled
- 18 Apr 2017
- Stable
- Blakesley Heath, Northants
- Trainer last 14 days
- 0 wins from 0 runs (None%)
- Ratings
- Perf 71
Kevin Brogan
Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill 8/34
Davita Blaze signed off with a fourth last time out and has run on today's going, while her yard is flying at 8/28 over the last fortnight, and our rating of 89 ranks her fourth of eight, well clear of her official 78. The risk is a 162-day absence and a winless run in her last four starts.
- Sire
- Jet Away (GB)
- Dam
- Lughnasa (IRE) by Westerner
- Owner
- The Three Cabelleros
- Foaled
- 12 Feb 2021
- Stable
- Cheltenham, Gloucs
- Trainer last 14 days
- 8 wins from 34 runs (24%)
- Trainer running to form
- 40%
- Ratings
- Perf 89
Amber Jackson-Fennell (7)
Mel Rowley 1/5
Shorten Sassy is winless in her last five, finishing sixth last time out, and she's hard to fancy as a seventh-ranked runner of eight on our figures. She has run over today's trip and going, and a fresh 20 days since her last run helps, and she carries 145 lb.
- Sire
- Telescope (IRE)
- Dam
- Nordic Nymph (GB) by Norse Dancer
- Owner
- P E Truscott
- Foaled
- 3 Feb 2020
- Stable
- Bridgnorth, Shrops
- Trainer last 14 days
- 1 wins from 5 runs (20%)
- Trainer running to form
- 45%
- Ratings
- Perf 78
Draw in brackets. Headgear: b blinkers, v visor, h hood, t tongue strap, p cheekpieces, e/s eye shield; ¹ first time. C course winner, D distance winner, CD course and distance winner. Form reads oldest to newest.